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Principles and Practices of Management




                    Notes
                                     When the demand was higher than the forecasts, he had to increase production at very
                                     short notice, and it was extremely difficult to make arrangements for it. It also involved
                                     additional costs towards workers' overtime.


                                   4.2 Premising

                                   Premises are assumptions about the future which provide the basic framework for forecasting
                                   and planning activities. As pointed out by Koontz and O' Donnel, 'premises guide planning.
                                   They spell out the stage of the expected future event which is believed will exist when plans
                                   operate. They are the expected environment plans.'
                                   It is an extremely tough task to fit all the future complexities together to make a forecast. A
                                   manager should have some framework to use for analysing the future. He has to identify certain
                                   forecasting 'goals' such as:
                                   1.  General economic premises are assumptions about the level of activity in the total economic
                                       system. Generally, Gross National Product (GNP) is accepted as an indicator of general
                                       business activity.

                                   2.  Industry  premises  are  the  assumptions  a  manager  makes  about  the  probability  of
                                       occurrences in his industry.
                                   3.  Company premises should start with a comprehensive survey of the company in relation
                                       to its environment.
                                   Tangible premises are those that can be stated in physical and monetary units like labour hours,
                                   production units. Intangible premises defy quantification.




                                      Task       Find the premise behind the following:
                                     1.   The demand of sugar is likely to decrease by 12% in the next quarter because people
                                          have started preferring sugar free to sugar.
                                     2.   Most of the new generation hogging to malls in the festive season, we must increase
                                          our supply of the teenage garments during the festive season.





                                     Case Study  LG Electronics Ltd.

                                        n a bid to expand the market and boost sales, LG Electronics Ltd. identified institutional
                                        sales as a focus area in the calendar year 1999. It plans to triple the target turnover to
                                     I  150 crores from institutional sales. LG has honed its institutional sales strategy by
                                     identifing and proactively targeting five different segments to push the LG range: brand
                                     promotions; the welfare segment (factory workers and office staff); government sector;
                                     direct users (hospitals, hotels); and the canteen stores departments (CSD) of the armed
                                     forces.
                                     A distinct strategy has been tailored for each of the five segments. In brand promotions for
                                     example, the perceived value of the products given as gifts is important, whereas for the
                                     welfare segment aspirational value, convenience and easy financing  are prime factors.
                                                                                                         Contd...




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