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Unit 4: Risk and Return Analysis




          1.   Security and Portfolio Value                                                     Notes
                Security   No. of   Current Price   Current   Expected End-of-Period   Expected End-of-
                        Shares   Per Share   Value    Per Share Value   Period Share Value
                         ( )       ( )       ( )           ( )               ( )
                  1       2        3         4             5                 6
                 XYZ     100      15.00     1,500         18.00             1,800
                 ABC     150      20.00     3,000         22.00             3,300
                 RST     200      40.00     8,000         45.00             9,000
                 KNF     250      25.00     6,250         30.00             7,500
                 DET     100      12.50     1,250         15.00             1,500
                                           20,000                           23,100

          2.   Security and Portfolio Value-Relative

                Security   Current   Proportion   Current   Expected   Expected   Contribution to
                         Value   of Current   Price Per   End-of-  Holding-  Portfolio
                           ( )   Value of   Share ( )   Period Value   Period   Expected
                                 Properties         Per Share ( )   Value-  Holding-Period
                                                                Relative   Value-Relative
                  (1)      (2)    3 = (2)    (4)       (5)     (6) = (5) / (4)   (7) = (3) × (6)
                                   20,000
                  XYZ     1,500    .0750    15,00     18.00      . 1,200    0.090000
                  ABC     3,000    .1500    20,00     22.00       1,100     0.165000
                  RST     8,000    .4000    40,00     45.00       1,125     0.450000
                  KNF     6,250    .3125    25,00     30.00       1,200     0.375000
                  DET     1,250    .0625    12,50     15.00       1,200     0.075000

                         20,000   1.0000                                    1.155000

          3.   Security and Portfolio Holding-Period Returns


                Security   Proportion of Current   Expected Holding   Contribution to Portfolio Expected
                          Value of Portfolio   Period Return (%)   Holding Period Return (%)

                   1               2                  3                  4
                  XYZ            .0750              20.00               1.50
                  ABC            .1500              10.00               1.50
                  RST            .4000              12.50               5.00
                  KNF            .3125              20.00               6.25
                  DET            .0625              20.00               1.25
                                1.0000                                 15.50

          Since the portfolio's expected return is a weighted average of the expected returns of its securities,
          the contribution of  each security  to the portfolio's expected  returns depends on its expected
          returns and its proportionate share of the initial portfolio's market value. Nothing else is relevant.
          It follows that an investor who simply wants the greatest possible expected return should hold
          one security. This should be the one that is considered to have the greatest expected return.



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