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Unit 4: Risk and Return Analysis




                                                                                                Notes
                           Figure 4.3:  Reduction of  Risk  through  Diversification

                            Project A                             Project B

            Return                                Return










                O                                     O
                            Time                                     Time

                                            Project A and B
                              Return











                                   O                      Time



                         Benefits of Diversification
             The  gains in risk reduction from portfolio diversification depend  inversely upon the
             extent to which the returns on securities in a portfolio are positively correlated. Ideally,
             the securities should display negative correlation. This implies that if a pair of securities
             has a negative correlation of returns, then in circumstances where one of the securities is
             performing  badly,  the  other  is  likely  to  be  doing  well  and  vice  versa  in  reverse
             circumstances. Therefore the average return on holding the two securities is likely to be
             much 'safer' than investing in one of them alone.





             Caselet     Using Index Options is Solution to Hedge Risk in Portfolio

                     any times it is in an investor's best interest to lock in recent gains or to protect
                     a portfolio of stocks from a decline beyond a certain price. One way to do this
             Mwould be to purchase a put option contract on each of your various holdings.
             However, if the portfolio consists of diversified stocks, then it is probably not cost-effective
             to insure each and every position in this manner.
             As an alternative, 'using index options' is a solution to hedge the risk in the portfolio.
             Depending on the stocks the choice of index could be Bank Nifty, Midcap  or even the
             benchmark Nifty. Next in order to decide the number of contracts of a particular index
             required to hedge, calculating beta () of the portfolio is the key. This may sound like an

                                                                                 Contd...



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