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Macroeconomic Theory




                     Notes            15.2   Empirical Evidence of Friedman’s Theory
                                      Many Empirical studies related with Money Theory of Friedman have done in Chicago and other
                                      universities, in which some of them are highlighted below:
                                      The modern theory of money forces on demand of money. Demand of money is the assets which
                                      depends on many variables and generally it is constant. Friedman himself and other economists of
                                      Chicago especially Saldon have empirically experimented in this relation. According to it the variables
                                      on which demand of money depends the evidences of those effect are following:
                                        1.   In relation with income Friedman found that there is very high leveled correlation in the
                                             long term changes of money-stock per capita and actual income per capita. But flexibility of
                                             money-demand for the changes in per capita income is more than unit. Friedman found about
                                             America that this flexibility is 1.8 from which he concluded that this behavior of demand of
                                             actual remaining is similar as the behaviour of demand of luxury goods.
                                        2.   Friedman’s study tells about the circular behaviour of income that in the expansion of
                                             economy the actual stock of money and actual income both increase, and decrease in
                                             contraction, but the rank of change in actual stock is lesser instead of actual income. This
                                             means that the ratio of income velocity of money to money stock of income, increase in
                                             expansion stage, and decreases in contraction stage.
                                        3.   The cost of holding money, i.e., related to interest rate Friedman on the basis of empirical
                                             evidence concluded that interest rates definitely affects the demand of money but this effect
                                             is not heavy in size. Second, no agreement on that are short term or long term interest rates
                                             related with intimacy with demand of money. But this evidence is clear that in the form of
                                             absolute price there is lesser flexibility in short term instead of long term. Third, approximately
                                             all the estimations, whether they are related with long term or short term rates, show lesser
                                             flexibility than unit in absolute price. The last, the change in actual income instead of changes
                                             in interest rates, are found the most important reasons of changes in demand of money.






                                          Task     Express your views about Friedman theory.



                                      Self Assessment
                                      Multiple Choice Questions:
                                        3.   The main source of wealth in …………………. capacity of humans.
                                             (a) productive                   (b) editorial
                                             (c) financial                    (d) none Of These
                                        4.   Income can do the …………… of indicator of wealth.
                                             (a) rebel                        (b) work
                                             (c) plan                         (d) none of these
                                        5.   The printed rate of return can be ………………. .
                                             (a) zero                         (b) lesser
                                             (c) more                         (d) none of these







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