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Unit-22: Inflation




                increasing private business expenses or war or increasing                                  Notes
                government expenses for economic development. Heavy
                expenses, without favourable increase in supply of actual
                production, will create huge monetary income and in this
                manner create demand. It is clearly inflationary in nature.
                During the Second World War, because of the increase in
                government expense on an unprecedented scale, almost all   Cost Level
                the nations of the world had to face demand pull inflation.
                Apart from this, for increased income, foreign expense on
                domestic goods and services is another responsible factor.
                This factor is important for that country, which maintains an
                export surplus. But if the created income is spent on imports   Income
                or is accumulated, it will not have an inflationary effect on   Figure 22.1
                the economy.
                   e.   Cost Push Inflation: Cost push inflation is created
                       when  because  of  raw  material,  intermediate
                       goods and increase in labour costs of productions
                       of the industries increase. Because of it, there
                       will be an increase in consumer goods. When
                       production cost increases, then collective supply
                       curve,  showing  this  that  at  prevalent  prices,
                       less amount will be supplied, has shifted to the   Cost Level
                       left. Downward shifting of the supply curve
                       from S  to S , S  and S  has been shown in figure
                                   3
                                        4
                             1
                                2
                       22.2. Assuming the collective demand curve to
                       be stable, decrease in supply increase the price
                       level upwards from OP to OP , OP  and OP              Income
                                                     3
                                                             4
                                           1
                                                 2
                       respectively. Many factors are responsible for
                       upward movement in costs.                           Figure 22.2
                   (i)   Higher Wage rates: Along with development of powerful trade unions, labours successfully
                       attain high wages for themselves. These wages may be more then the increase in their
                       productivity. When firms realize that their labour cost is increasing then, to save the high
                       cost they increase prices. Increase in price of goods induces high cost of living and reduction
                       in actual wages. For neutralising this reduction, labours demand for further increase in
                       their wages. Under any circumstance, final load of increase in prices has to be borne by
                       the consumer. The cycle of increase in wage rates consequently, increase in costs creates
                       an inflationary pressure in the economy (Wage-Price-Spiral), which is known as Cost Push
                       Inflation. Such inflation is found in imperfectly competitive market. Where labours are
                       unorganised or is suppressed by powerful industrial authorities, there it (this inflation) is
                       not possible.
                   (ii)   Higher Profit Margins: Cost may also be increased by setting higher profit margins by
                       monopolist producers, stockists, and traders. They are in a condition to increase the prices
                       more than sufficient for indemnifying any loss. Other people in the market are at the mercy
                       of the monopolist, they have no choice but to accept them (the costs). Since demand is more
                       than the supply, hence producers have profit. But in freely competitive market, possibility
                       of cost push inflation is banned. It is true for the markets of agricultural products. But, when
                       prices of agricultural products are fixed by the government, then organised farmers lobby
                       may have some control on that price, at which it sells the agricultural produce. Farmers’
                       lobby in India has been successful to quiet an extent in compelling government in keeping






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