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Indian Economic Policy



                  Notes          rise to an unspectacular 0.4 percent in 2009-2010 with around 5.4 percent expected for 2010-11. Adjusted
                                 for inflation, even this 5.4 percent growth looks unexciting when compared to the growth rates in
                                 services and manufacturing. Today, agriculture accounts for 14.2 percent of the country’s gross
                                 domestic product, compared to 51 percent in the 1950s. Worse, India is amongst the world’s largest
                                 wasters of food and faces a potential challenge to provide food security to its growing population in
                                 light of increasing global food prices and the declining rate of response of crops to added fertilizers.

                                                        Table 1 : Agriculture Sector : Key Indicators
                                                                                                         (per cent)
                                   S.  Item                                     2008-09 2009-10          2010-11
                                   No.                                                         (Advance Estimates)

                                   1   GDP–Share and Growth (at 2004-05 prices)
                                       Growth in GDP in agriculture & allied sectors  -0.1  0.4              5.4
                                       Share in GDP–Agriculture and allied sectors  15.7   14.6             14.2

                                       Agriculture                                 13.3    12.3
                                       Forestry and logging                         1.6    1.5
                                       Fishing                                      0.8    0.8
                                   2   Share in Total Gross Capital Formation in the
                                       Country (at 2004-05 prices)
                                       Share of Agriculture & Allied Sectors in total
                                       Gross Capital Formation                      8.3    7.7
                                       Agriculture                                  7.7    7.1
                                       Forestry and logging                        0.07    0.06
                                       Fisheries                                   0.56    0.54
                                   3   Agricultural Imports & Exports (at current prices)
                                       Agricultural Imports to national imports    2.71    4.38
                                       Agricultural exports to national exports   10.22   10.59

                                   4   Employment in the agriculture sector        58.2
                                       as share of total workers as per census 2001
                                 Source : Central Statistics Office and Department of Agriculture and Cooperation.

                                 The root causes of a poorly-performing agriculture sector that continues to be the primary engine for
                                 sustaining the largest segment of the Indian people are primarily two-fold : (a) India’s economic
                                 growth trends are not inclusive in character and are being driven more by services and manufacturing;
                                 and (b) something has gone terribly awry with Indian planning for agriculture.
                                 Conversely, for technology companies, those with the wherewithal to “green” Indian agriculture or
                                 those who wish to engage at the grassroots either from a business or CR perspective, it is in agriculture’s
                                 myriad problems that opportunities exist.
                                 From the point of view of international investors some of the longer-term opportunities arise on
                                 account of a number of factors including,
                                 •    India’s large land mass
                                 •    A multi-product basket with enormous export potential
                                 •    Year-round cropping



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