Page 312 - DECO502_INDIAN_ECONOMIC_POLICY_ENGLISH
P. 312

Indian Economic Policy



                  Notes               the consumer demand and, therefore, a contractionary effect on the economy. This proves helpful
                                      in reducing the inflationary pressure in the economy.
                                 (b)  Discretionary Changes in Government Expenditure : The discretionary changes in the
                                      government spending include change in (i) the size of the government expenditure, (ii) the
                                      pattern of government expenditure, (iii) the methods of financing government expenditure,
                                      (iv) transfer payments (e.g., subsidies, old age pensions, unemployment relief, etc.), (v) overall
                                      budgetary surplus and deficit, and (vi) the methods of deficit financing.
                                      Here again, there are no set rules for making changes in the fiscal policy. Any or many of these
                                      changes can be made at any time at the discretion of the government. Changes can be altered or
                                      reversed at the discretion of the government. It is this character of fiscal policy which makes a
                                      discretionary policy.
                                 Limitations of Discretionary Fiscal Policy : It is generally alleged that a discretionary fiscal policy
                                 works in theory better than in practice. The discretionary fiscal policy does not work effectively in
                                 practice because it has certain limitations.
                                 First, an important limitation of discretionary policy is that it is suitable and effective only when it is
                                 used for short-run corrections in the economy. Attempts to solve the macroeconomic malad-justments
                                 or disequilibrium of long-term nature through the discretionary fiscal policy creates a greater mess
                                 and distortions in the economy rather than resolving them.
                                 Second, an important factor that makes effectiveness of discretionary fiscal policy doubtful even in
                                 the short run is the problem in making an accurate assessment of the magnitude of the problem and
                                 forecasting expected results of policy changes. In the absence of reliable estimates and fore-casting,
                                 the decisions are likely to go wrong and the consequences may be disastrous. For example, like all
                                 other countries affected by the global recession, India had implemented certain short-run stimulus
                                 package. Since the economy has started recovering, the government is in dilemma as to whether or
                                 not to withdraw the stimulus package because its effects are unpredictable.
                                 Third, there are two kinds of time-lags in the implementation of fiscal actions : pre-implementation
                                 and post-implementation time-lags. Pre-implementation time-lag arises due to time, taken in the
                                 process of decision-making, called ‘decision lag’. The policy measures and policy tools are decided
                                 upon by the policy-makers and the think-tank of the government. For instance, in India, for all long-
                                 term fiscal actions or policy reforms, a committee is appointed to make its recommendation. The
                                 committee takes more time than stipulated in its terms of reference. After the committee makes its
                                 recommendations, the report is placed for the bureaucratic appraisal. It is then sent for ministerial
                                 consideration for its approval. The committee’s recommendations are then placed before the Parliament
                                 for discussion. After its approval by the Parliament, proposals find a place in the Finance Bill. The
                                 time lost in decision-making is called ‘decision lag. After the Finance Bill is voted, it takes further
                                 time in the implementation of the policy. It is called ‘execution lag’.
                                 Thus, a considerable time is lost in the process of decision-making and its execution. As regards the
                                 post-implementation time-lag, it arises due to lagged effect of fiscal actions. The lagged effect arises
                                 because fiscal changes work through the related variables and, therefore, take a long time to produce
                                 the expected result or unexpected/undesired effects or to show that they cannot produce any
                                 satisfactory results.
                                 The time-lag associated with the working of the discretionary fiscal policy makes the efficacy of the
                                 policy doubtful. Its working is further complicated when other changes are made in the fiscal policy
                                 before the full effect of a previous action is realized. This also complicates the assessment of the
                                 performance of the policy. In India, such changes were of regular nature—fiscal changes were made
                                 invariably in each annual budget—before the Economic Reforms were made in 1990— 91. Changes
                                 in taxation and expenditure are also made within a financial year. Now, the frequency of discretionary
                                 fiscal changes has considerably reduced.
                                 Fiscal Policy of India
                                 India’s fiscal policy was formulated initially in 1950-51 in the background of India’s economic
                                 conditions at the time of Independence. The Indian economy was trapped in a vicious circle of poverty


        306                              LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   307   308   309   310   311   312   313   314   315   316   317