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International Trade and Finance



                  Notes          represented led to the increase of global production and originated the increase of internal and external
                                 economies, which resulted in increasing income for the economy. But, although he understood the
                                 importance of those externalities, he also recognized the difficulties of his analytic treatment. Among
                                 his successors, only Young (1928) was concerned with EG when he considered, like Smith, that the
                                 dimension of the market limited the labour division (and therefore, the productivity). He also examined
                                 the inter-relation between industries in the process of EG, the creation of new industries due to the
                                 specialization resulting from the extension of the market, the importance of specialization and
                                 standardization in a vast market and the influence of this market on technological progress.
                                 Another exception of this period’s remarkable was Schumpeter (1912, 1942 and 1954), who repeated
                                 old points of view concerning the tendency of the profit to reach a minimum and the dependency of
                                 the rate of EG on capital accumulation. But he went further, distinguishing ‘invention’ (advancement
                                 of useful knowledge to production) from ‘innovation’ (economic activity of exploring that knowledge).
                                 Considering the latter as the central element of EG, he described the exigencies for a successful
                                 innovation, which included the need for markets opened to the exterior.
                                 We conclude this subsection by mentioning some authors who made the restart of studies of dynamic
                                 themes — and, consequently, of the EG theory — easier, thus laying a good foundation for future
                                 investigations. Ramsey (1928) introduced the description of EG and the principle of research of an
                                 optimum EG. Cobb and Douglas (1928) presented production functions that became known as Cobb-
                                 Douglas production functions and which constituted an essential element of numerous models of EG.
                                 Harrod (1938 and 1948) and Domar (1937 and 1946) independently developed a model inspired in
                                 Keynes, which gave the research of EG an important momentum and a specific direction. Finally,
                                 Rosenstein-Rodan (1943) retrieved some of Young’s ideas, when the problems of the Less Developed
                                 Countries (LDCs) attracted the economists’ attention.
                                 Reactions of Classical and Neoclassical Theories
                                 Immediately after the end of WWII, the dominant position was questioned, namely in the case of the
                                 LDCs. Those reactions abandoned the classical and neoclassical orientation in considering hypotheses
                                 that were strange to them. The introverted and protectionist EG experiments of Latin America
                                 (industrialization for import substitution) also stood out, with rationalization and justification owing,
                                 first of all, to some structuralist economists [Prebisch (1949) — executive secretary of UN — and
                                 Singer (1950)] and to the UN Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA). Essentially, they
                                 defended that the IT brought on negative consequences in the long-term for the LDCs because their
                                 specialization occurred in products with low demand income elasticity and, therefore, with a weak
                                 perspective of exports growth, and noticed a tendency for the constant deterioration of trade terms.
                                 Furthermore, this specialization entailed significant economic and social costs of adaptation to the
                                 evolution of the chain of IT.
                                 Myrdal (1956 and 1957) sustained that IT didn’t equal the remuneration of factors (in contradiction
                                 with the proposal of the neoclassical model) and that, unlike the industries of the DCs, the traditional
                                 industries of the LDCs remained weak. In short, the IT had some positive effects of diffusion on the
                                 LDCs, but in the long-term the negative effects remained because it stimulated a production of primary
                                 goods (plantations and mining enclaves) subject to irregular prices and demand. Lewis (1954 and
                                 1969) and the marxist author Emmanuel (1969) decided, respectively, on the deterioration of the
                                 trade terms of the LDCs and on the existence of unequal trade biased against the LDCs. Nurkse
                                 (1959) also questioned the relevance of commercial trade between the DCs and the LDCs for the
                                 latter. Perroux (1978) considered that the LDCs were controlled. Consequently, the EG and the
                                 structural transformation were induced by the DCs, which will cause the loss of potential positive
                                 effects to the external world, in the long term.
                                 Another group of (radical) authors observed the economic relations as a whole (chain of goods,
                                 services and capitals) : radical marxist visions [among others, Destanne de Bernis (1977) and Andreff
                                 (1981)] and the dependency theory [among others, Santos (1970), Frank (1970) and Amin (1970 and
                                 1973)]. Basically, they defended that the underdevelopment was the consequence of the changes and
                                 deformations in the economic and social structures caused by the economic and social relation that
                                 existed with DCs.


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