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International Trade and Finance



                  Notes          (i.e. an excess of debits over credits) is necessarily a sign of undesirable state of affairs in a country
                                 ? The answer is “no”. Because, take for example, the case of a developing country, which might be
                                 importing vast quantities of capital goods and technology to build a strong agricultural or industrial
                                 base. Such a country in the course of doing that might be forced to experience passive (or adverse)
                                 trade balance, and such a situation of passive trade balance cannot be described as one of undesirable
                                 state of affairs. This would therefore again suggest that before drawing meaningful inferences as
                                 to whether passive trade balance is a desirable or an undesirable state of affairs for a country, we
                                 must also know the composition of imports which are causing conditions of adverse trade balance
                                 for that country. At any rate, the importance of trade balance in any country’s BOP can hardly be
                                 exaggerated.
                                 Balance of Payments on Current Account

                                 This is a broader concept than the concept of balance of trade. Balance of Payments on Current Account
                                 includes the sum of three balances viz. Merchandise balance, service balance and unilateral transfers
                                 balance. In other words, it comprises of trade balance (in Meade’s sense) and transfers balance. In
                                 Table 3 the positive unilateral transfers balance of $180 million is added on to the negative trade
                                 balance of $130 million which will give us a current account BOP surplus of $50 million.
                                 Balance of Payments on Current Account is also referred to as Net Foreign Investment because the
                                 sum represents the contribution of foreign trade to GNP.
                                 It is also worth remembering that BOP on Current Account covers all the receipts on account of
                                 earnings (or opposed to borrowings) and all the payments arising out of spendings (as opposed to
                                 lendings). There is no reverse flow entailed in the BOP current account transactions. This is in sharp
                                 contrast to the balance of payments on Capital Account which we will see below.
                                 Balance of Payments on Capital Account

                                 For a long time, economists had assumed that factors of production do not move across international
                                 boundaries; the classical economists built models of trade assuming that only goods and services
                                 move across international boundaries. International capital movements viewed in that light, were an
                                 impossibility. Perhaps, for this reason, we do not have a well developed theory of international capital
                                 movement, although, as we have seen in previous chapters, we have well advanced theories of
                                 international trade in goods and services (e.g. Comparative Advantage Models, Heckscher-Ohlin
                                 model, demand reversal, factor-intensity reversal, Leontief Paradox and a whole lot of the so-called
                                 “New” theories of international trade). However, this is no occasion to discuss the theory of
                                 international capital flows. Theory or no theory, international capital movements in and out of countries
                                 are a fact of life and very much a reality in today’s world. With so many multinational banks, transnational
                                 corporations with their giant global operations, inter-governmental aid, grants and loans and
                                 international institutional arrangements for borrowing and lending of money between the countries of
                                 the world, the international capital and investment flows across nations have reached unprecedented
                                 proportions, especially after World War II period. Less developed countries are the net recipients of
                                 foreign capital and investment and some see it as an opportunity for these countries to maximize their
                                 rate of growth and minimize their balance of payments hardships. The radical political economists
                                 consider this trend to be potentially dangerous to the LDCs, because (a) it will subject the economies of
                                 the poor Third World nations to economic imperialism by the Western Capitalist countries and (b) the
                                 mounting foreign debt of these Third World countries keeps compelling them to borrow still more in
                                 order to repay the debt resulting not in less debt but more debt as the years go by. They will be, therefore,
                                 perpetually “dependent” on borrowings from foreign sources. Be that as it may!!
                                 Returning to the question of BOP accounting procedure, all the transactions involving inward or
                                 outward movement of capital and investment (be it long term or short term, direct or portfolio,
                                 private or government, individual or institutional, tied or untied, interest bearing or non-interest
                                 bearing, soft or hard) are included in the Capital Account of the BOP of the reporting country. In
                                 simple terms, the BOP Capital Account comprises of the Long-Term and Short-Term Capital Accounts.
                                 In Table 3, the Capital Account balance shows a net surplus of $40 million (see item numbers 4 and 5
                                 and item D in the Table).



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