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International Trade and Finance



                  Notes          the production gains are shown, note carefully that while there has been gain in terms of World GNP
                                 increase, this had come about entirely through production gain in Malaysia, i.e. there has been no
                                 production gain in or for India.
                                 World GNP has gone up from 180 to 200 after the introduction of trade. This is entirely due to
                                 production gains resulting from specialization in Malaysia, after trade. There are no production gains
                                 to be derived from specialization as far as India is concerned, because India’s level of production or
                                 GNP is the same (viz. 120 units) both before and after trade. This suggests that small countries tend to
                                 benefit more than the large countries from the standpoint of specialization in production resulting
                                 from the establishment of international trade. As far as large countries are concerned—India, in this
                                 case—they can attain production specialization even without the help of international trade due,
                                 mainly, to the large size of their domestic markets. Small countries, on the other hand, need foreign
                                 markets in order to achieve specialization in production. Viewed in this light, small countries stand
                                 to gain more from trade and specialization than the large countries.
                                                   Table 8 : Production Levels after International Trade
                                                                     Commodities             World

                                                Countries       Textiles      Rubber       Production
                                                                 (units)      (units)    or GNP (units)

                                                India             120            0            120
                                                Malaysia           0            80             80

                                                World             120           80            200
                                 Unless both countries stand to gain from trade, there can be no trade between them. Production gains
                                 have gone to only Malaysia, and India has no production or GNP gains from trade. This means that
                                 India, as well as Malaysia, must have some consumption gains in order that there is mutually beneficial
                                 trade between the two countries. The consumption gains for the two countries depend upon how the
                                 production gain is shared or distributed between the two countries. In other words, how much (or
                                 how little) each country gains from trade, in terms of consumption or welfare, depends entirely on
                                 the terms of trade. The role of terms of trade in distributing trading gains can hardly be overstayed.
                                 Let us inspect some possibilities below :
                                 1.   If the international terms of trade between India and Malaysia are, say, 3:4 (i.e. 3 units of textiles
                                      have to be exported in order to import 4 units of rubber, or vice versa) then both the countries
                                      will share the benefits equally. This is because these international terms of trade (viz. 3:4) lie
                                      exactly between the two internal opportunity cost ratios of India and Malaysia. The consumption
                                      gains resulting from such International terms of trade for the two countries are shown in
                                      Table 9 below :
                                                  Table 9 : Consumption Levels After International Trade
                                                              Commodities            Total       Gains in
                                          Countries       Textiles     Rubber    Consumption   Consumption
                                                          (units)      (units)      (units)       (units)

                                          India             90           40           130           10
                                          Malaysia          30           40           70            10

                                          World            120           80           200           20

                                      India, after trade produces 120 units of textiles; she consumes 90 units of it by herself and
                                      exports the remaining 30 units to Malaysia. By exporting 30 units of textiles, India receives 40
                                      units of rubber as imports from Malaysia at the terms of trade of 3:4. This means, when the



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