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Statistics



                      Notes         This definition of probability is also termed as the empirical definition because the probability
                                    of an event is obtained by actual experimentation.

                                                                                                         m
                                    Although, it is seldom possible to obtain the limit of the relative frequency, the ratio    can be
                                                                                                         n
                                    regarded as a good approximation of the probability of an event for large values of  n.
                                    This definition also suffers from the following shortcomings :
                                    (i)  The conditions of the experiment may not remain identical, particularly when the number
                                         of trials is sufficiently large.
                                                            m
                                    (ii)  The relative frequency,   , may not attain a unique value no matter how large is the total
                                                             n
                                         number of trials.
                                    (iii)  It may not be possible to repeat an experiment a large number of times.
                                    (iv)  Like the classical definition, this definition doesn't lead to any mathematical treatment of
                                         probability.

                                    6.7 Summary of Formulae

                                    1.   (a)  The number of permutations of n objects taking n at a time are n!

                                                                                                         ! n
                                                                                                  n
                                         (b)  The number of permutations of n objects taking r at a time, are  P =
                                                                                                   r
                                                                                                      (n r-  )!
                                         (c)  The number of permutations of n objects in a circular order are (n - 1)!
                                         (d)  The number of permutations of n objects out of which n  are alike, n  are alike, ......
                                                                                           1         2
                                                                ! n
                                              n  are alike, are
                                               k
                                                                  n
                                                           n 1 !n 2 ! ...  !
                                                                   k
                                                                                                         ! n
                                                                                                 n
                                         (e)  The number of combinations of n objects taking r at a time are  C =
                                                                                                   r
                                                                                                       ( ! r n r-  )!
                                    2.   (a)  The probability of occurrence of at least one of the two events A and B is given by :
                                              P (A   ) B =  P A  ( ) P-  (A   B ) 1 P A= -  (  B ) .
                                                        ( ) P B+
                                         (b)  The probability of occurrence of exactly one of the events A or B is given by :
                                              P (A   B ) ( A+  P    B )   or  P (A  ) B -  P (A  ) B
                                    3.   (a)  The probability of simultaneous occurrence of the two events A and B is given by:
                                              P (A   ) B =  P ( ) ( /A  .P B A )  or   =  P ( ) ( /B  .P A  ) B

                                         (b)  If A and B are independent  ( P A  ) B =  P A  .P
                                                                              ( ) ( ) B .
                                    6.8 Keywords


                                    Classical: If n is the number of equally likely,  mutually exclusive and exhaustive outcomes of
                                    a random experiment out of which m outcomes are favourable to the occurrence of an event A,
                                    then the probability that A occurs, denoted by P(A), is given by :

                                                             Number of outcomes favourable to A  m
                                                        ( ) =
                                                       P A                                =
                                                               Number of exhaustive outcomes  n
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