Page 172 - DECO201_MACRO_ECONOMICS_ENGLISH
P. 172

Unit 10: Theories of Inflation




          10.1 Meaning of Inflation                                                             Notes

          Inflation is understood by most people as a substantial rapid general increase in the level of
          prices and consequent devaluation in the value of money over a period of time. Harry Johnson,
          for instance, defines inflation as “a sustained rise in price”. Crowther similarly defines inflation
          as “a state in which the value of money is falling, i.e., the prices are rising”. The common feature
          of inflation is price rise, the degree of which may be measured by price indices. Edward Shapiro,
          thus, puts that “recognising the  ambiguities that our words contain, we will define inflation
          simply as a persistent and an appreciable rise in the general level of prices”.
          Thus, inflation is statistically measured in terms of the percentage increase in the price index as
          a rate per cent per unit of time – usually an year or a month.

               !
             Caution  While inflation means a rise in the general price level, the rate of inflation is the
            rate of change of the general price level. It is measured by a simple formula as follows:


                                  Rate of inflation

            Where, P  is the price level in year t, P  - 1 is the price level in year t-1, the base year. If there
                    t                     t
            is a decline in the rate of inflation, such a situation is called DISINFLATION.



             Did u know?  The most recent period of disinflation in India occurred in India since the
            middle of 1991 when the high rate of nflation which had crossed double digit levels and
            was around 17 per cent, was brought down to around 7 per cent, thanks to a package of
            Macro Economic stabilisation policies introduced by the government.

          Types of Inflation

          Open Inflation: In a free market economy, prices go up freely due to supply-demand imbalances
          leading to open inflation.
          Suppressed Inflation: Suppressed inflation occurs in a controlled economy where the upward
          pressure on  prices is not allowed to influence  the quoted  or managed  prices. But  inflation
          reveals itself in other forms.


                 Example:  Government may introduce rationing of goods leading to long queues in
          front of ration shops. There is very likely to be a black market for such goods whose prices are
          far above the quoted prices. In India, suppressed inflation manifests itself in the prices of essential
          goods sold through PDS. The ration prices are deliberately maintained at a certain level while
          the open market prices are above this level.
          Creeping Inflation, Galloping Inflation and Hyper Inflation


          These three categories of inflation are recognised on the basis of severity of inflation, as measured
          in terms of rate of rise in prices.
          There is moderate rise in prices of 2-3 per cent per annum in creeping inflation. It is generally
          considered good for a growing economy. Mildly rising prices result in faster growth of output





                                           LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY                                   167
   167   168   169   170   171   172   173   174   175   176   177