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Indian Economy




                    Notes          associated sectors of the economy. As a result of these factors, any successful transfer of labour
                                   from agriculture to industry results in economic development. Industrialisation is hence
                                   inseparable from substantial, sustained economic development as it is both a consequence of
                                   higher incomes and a way of higher productivity. With the increase in income levels people
                                   tend to bestow more on manufactured goods than on food. The differential income elasticity of
                                   demand confers an advantage on the manufacturing countries in the form of providing expanding
                                   market higher productivity makes it an appealing occupation to influence population transfer
                                   so as to arrest the tendency of diminishing returns in agriculture. Industrialisation serves as an
                                   instrument both of developing capacity to absorb surplus labour power and of catering for the
                                   diversification of the market needed at higher stages of economic development.
                                   In many situations, the diversion of underemployed rural labour to non-agricultural occupations
                                   is an urgent need for development. But it does not depict that industrial development can be
                                   dissociated from progress in the agricultural sector. Enhancement in productivity in agriculture
                                   develops surplus which can be used to support increasing labour force in industries. Besides
                                   offering a large portion of the sustenance for the growing urban population, the agricultural
                                   sector supplies a market for manufactured goods out of greater real incomes and a source of
                                   foreign exchange to pay for imported capital goods for industry; it also offers a source of capital
                                   for industry via the medium of capital accumulated by traders and results in the growth of an
                                   exchange economy – all such factors promote the growth of manufacturing industry. In fact,
                                   unless agriculture is modernised substantially, industrial expansion is likely to proceed at a
                                   slow speed because of lack of purchasing power in the hands of the bulk of population. The issue
                                   confronting the less developed countries is, hence, not one of choosing between primary and
                                   secondary activities but instead one of ensuring the balanced expansion of all proper sectors of
                                   the economy.

                                   7.1.2 Pattern of Industrialisation

                                   It is important to understand that while there is now nearly universal agreement on the
                                   significance of industrialisation, there is still much debate related to the proper pattern of
                                   industrial development. Historically, industrial development has proceeded in three stages. In
                                   the initial stage, industry is involved with the processing of primary products: milling grain,
                                   extracting oil, tanning leather, spinning vegetable fibres, preparing timber and smelting ores.
                                   The second stage consists of the conversion of materials making bread and confectionery,
                                   footwear, metal goods, cloth, furniture and paper. The third stage comprises of the manufacture
                                   of machines and other capital equipment to be utilised not for the direct satisfaction of any
                                   instant want but in order to enable the future process of production. Hoffmann grouped all
                                   industrial output into two categories, consumer goods and capital goods output and grouped
                                   various stages with relation to the ratio of consumer goods output to that of capital goods
                                   productivity. “In stage one the consumer goods industries are of overwhelming importance,
                                   their net output being on the average five times as large as that of capital goods industries.” This
                                   ratio is 2.5:1 in the second stage and declines to 1:1 in the third stage and still lower in the fourth
                                   stage. Both these kinds of classifications stress on the increasing role of the capital goods industries
                                   in the economy as industrial development occurs.
                                   You may already be aware that although the general development of industry itself has advanced
                                   from consumer goods to the capital goods, there are several variations of this pattern, both with
                                   relation to time taken to attain later stages and in terms of comparative importance of each of
                                   the stages. Soviet pattern of industrialisation includes a straight jump from the first to the third
                                   stage while British pattern is that of a slow evolution. Likewise, underdeveloped countries may
                                   also develop a different pattern of industrialisation appropriate to their economic conditions. It
                                   has been advised that the pattern of industrialisation in under-developed countries should be
                                   directed primarily by considerations arising from the comparative scarcity of capital. Since




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