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Security Analysis and Portfolio Management




                    Notes          by investor expectations about earnings, risks, and so on, as investors grapple with an uncertain
                                   future. If the market price of a security does depart from its estimated economic value, investors
                                   act to bring the two values together. Thus, as new information arrives in an efficient marketplace,
                                   causing  a revision in the  estimated economic  value  of  a  security,  its price  adjusts to this
                                   information quickly and, on balance, correctly. In other words, securities are efficiently priced
                                   on a continuous basis.
                                   Passive strategies do not seek to outperform the market but simply to do as well as the market.
                                   The  emphasis is  on minimizing  transaction costs and time spent in  managing the portfolio
                                   because any expected benefits from active trading or analysis are likely to be less than the costs.
                                   Passive investors act as if the market is efficient and accept the consensus estimates of return and
                                   risk, accepting current market price as the best estimate of a security's value.

                                   Active

                                   Investors who do not accept the effective market hypothesis (EMH), or have serious doubts,
                                   pursue active investment strategies believing that they can identify undervalued securities and
                                   that lags exist in the market's adjustment of these securities' prices to new (better) information.
                                   These investors generate more search costs (both in time  and money) and more  transaction
                                   costs, but they believe that the marginal benefit outweighs the marginal cost incurred.

                                   Most investment techniques involve an active approach  to investing. In the area of common
                                   stocks, the use of valuation models to value and select stocks indicates that investors are analyzing
                                   and valuing stocks in an attempt to  improve their performance relative to some  benchmark
                                   such as a market index. They assume or expect the benefits to be greater than the costs.
                                   Pursuit of an active strategy assumes that investors possess some advantage relative to other
                                   market participants. Such advantages could include superior analytical or judgment skills, superior
                                   information, or the ability or willingness to do what other investors, particularly institutions,
                                   are unable to do. For example, many large institutional investors cannot take positions in very
                                   small companies, leaving this field for individual investors. Furthermore, individuals are not
                                   required to own diversified portfolios  and are  typically not prohibited from  short sales or
                                   margin trading as are some institutions.

                                   Most investors  still favour an active  approach to  common stock  selection and management,
                                   despite the accumulating evidence from efficient market studies and the published performance
                                   results of institutional investors. The reason for this is obvious – the potential rewards are very
                                   large, and many investors feel confident that they can achieve such awards even if other investors
                                   cannot.
                                   The most traditional and popular form of active stock strategies is the selection of individual
                                   stocks identified as offering superior return-risk characteristics. Such stocks typically are selected
                                   using fundamental security analysis,  but technical  analysis is  also used,  and sometimes a
                                   combination of the two. Many investors have always believed, and continue to believe, despite
                                   evidence to the contrary from the EMH, that they possess the requisite skill, patience, and ability
                                   to identify undervalued stocks.




                                      Task       Discuss which Portfolio Strategy do you think to be better and why.











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