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Stock Market Operations                                     Rupesh Roshan Singh, Lovely Professional University




                   Notes              Unit 7: Fundamental Analysis 1: Economic Analysis

                                    CONTENTS
                                    Objectives

                                    Introduction
                                    7.1  Fundamental Analysis
                                         7.1.1  Fundamental Analysis and Efficient Market
                                    7.2  Economy - Industry - Company Analysis: A Framework

                                         7.2.1  Economy Analysis
                                         7.2.2  Investment-making Process
                                         7.2.3  Economic Forecasting
                                         7.2.4  Barometric or Indian Approach

                                         7.2.5  Money and Stock Prices
                                         7.2.6  Diffusion Index
                                         7.2.7  Geometric Model Building Approach
                                         7.2.8  Economy and Industry Analysis

                                    7.3  Summary
                                    7.4  Keywords
                                    7.5  Review Questions
                                    7.6  Further Readings

                                  Objectives


                                  After studying this unit, you will be able to:
                                       Explain the concept of fundamental analysis
                                       Discuss the economy - industry - company Analysis: A framework
                                       Elaborate the economic and industry analysis
                                  Introduction


                                  Investment decisions are a part of our economic life. Everybody makes such decisions in different
                                  contexts at different times. Some are able to reap more profits through them; while others
                                  simply lose their money. Attempts should, therefore, be made to understand and know the way
                                  sound investments decision can be made in order to improve the change of making profit
                                  through them. Thus, investment decision-making is an important area probing further.
                                  Unfortunately, for long, investment decision-making was regarded only as an act. As an art it is
                                  personal subjective, it was difficult to provide a general framework with in one could operate.
                                  Only, recently it was considered as science with the result that a body of literature has been
                                  developed that help us to understand the way investment decisions can be attempted.
                                  Recognizing its art content, this body of literature works on the thinking that a general system
                                  framework can be suggested for those involved in investment decisions, who can then modify
                                  it according to their requirements. It has, therefore, been recognized that investment



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