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Stock Market Operations




                   Notes          Long regarded as an art, investment decision-making has only recently been considered as
                                  science with an attendant body of literature being developed helping us understand its dynamics.
                                  Investment decision-making is now accepted both as an art as well as a science. Decision-makers
                                  attempt to update themselves on the characteristics of returns securities, which keep changing.
                                  Their understanding needs sustained efforts.
                                  Changes in the management of any particular company or changes in government policy at
                                  macro level can bring about changes in the attractiveness of certain securities.


                                         Example: Before 1992-93, the shares of sugar industry in India did not catching the
                                  attention of the investing public. But due to changes in the government policy towards this
                                  industry around 1999, sugar industry shares became quite attractive. Policy changes made by
                                  the government related to hike in the sugar per sold both in open market as well as through
                                  public distribution system, increase in the quantity of sugar for sale in the free market etc.
                                  played a very important role in making the shares of sugar companies attractive. There may be
                                  other factors too, that are more specific to a particular company or industry.

                                           Table 7.1: Opportunities and Threats in the Macro-economic Environment

                                     S. No.    Economic Indicator        Opportunity         Threat
                                     1.      Economic cycle stage        Boom                Recession
                                     2.      Gross National Product      Growth              Decline
                                     3.      Employment                  Increase           Decrease
                                     4.      Aggregate demand            Rise               Fall
                                     5.      Personal  disposable income  Increase           Decrease
                                     6.      House construction          Increase            Decrease
                                     7.      Personnel savings during inflation   Increase   Decrease
                                     8.      Rate of interest            Low                 High
                                     9.      Corporate taxation          Low                High
                                     10.     Balance of trade            Positive           Negative
                                     11.     Rupee in foreign exchange market   Strong      Weak
                                     12.     Prices                      Stable             Unstable





                                      Task  List down the trends that indicate the macro-economic changes affecting the risk
                                    and return on investment.
                                  Self Assessment


                                  Fill in the blanks:
                                  5.   The analysis of the state of the economy at the …………………….. level incorporates the
                                       performance of the economy in the past, how it is performing in the present and how it is
                                       expected to perform in future.
                                  6.   …………………….. policy is concerned with the spending and tax initiatives of the
                                       government.





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