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Unit 9: Fundamental Analysis 3: Company Analysis




          The ratio of d /e  is known as dividend payout ratio. From the above model it is obvious that,  Notes
                     io  io
          to determine the appropriate earnings multiplier an analysis must consider the following:
              The earnings of the security
              The risk of the security
              The growth rate of the dividend stream
              The duration of the expected growth and
              The dividend payout ratio

          9.2.1 Earnings Analysis

          As seen earlier,  to value  common stocks  or  other risky assets, the present value model  is
          employed.
          Present value = AQ
          Where  t = time period

          This model gives rise to two questions:
          1.   How does the investor measure the income from the common stocks?
          2.   What discount or capitalization rate should be used?

          The income question is discussed here:
          Income concepts: Accountants and economists have provided two different concepts of income.
          Accountant’s income is the revenue over the above all the costs incurred. Economists define the
          income of a firm as the maximum amount, which can be consumed by the owners of the firm in
          any period without decreasing their future consumption opportunities.
          Adjusting for economic income: Since income, which is very important is determining the value
          of a security, is vaguely reported by accountants, it is necessary to adjust or normalize it in a
          consistent manner.
          Fundamental analysts find it necessary to significantly alter the income statements, to obtain
          estimates for two reasons.
          1.   The accountant has used an accounting procedure, which is inappropriate for the relevant
               economic transaction and/or
          2.   The accountant, perhaps under the pressure of top management, has adopted a procedure
               to minimise the firm’s income taxes or window dress the firm’s financial statements.
          We will now discuss the differences in accounting procedures. These are only illustrative of the
          controversy in reporting incomes.

          1.   Sales – Revenue Recognition Principle: Sales can be either cash sales or credit sales. Sales
               can be recognized as early as the date the sale order is signed. However, in the case of
               long-term construction contracts the sale may not be recognized until as late as the day the
               cash is fully paid. Between these two extremes, the accountant may choose a suitable time
               point to recognize the sales revenue in the financial statements. He may do it either in an
               attempt  to  improve  current  income  or  because he  has  grown  confident  about  its
               collectability. In the case of credit sales, companies may factor their accounts receivable
               and realize cash proceeds. One  firm may recognize this immediately, whereas another
               firm may wait until the customer’s final cash payment is actually received.




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