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Unit 13: Commodity Market




                                                                                               Notes


            Case Study  Sugar Futures Range-bound; Stockists Still Buying

            Securities Tax Damaging
            The rationale for introduction of STT in 2004 was mainly to track transactions and minimise
            tax avoidance. This move might have helped at that point of time, as tax infrastructure was
            weak and helped mop up higher revenues with higher bouyancy. The other rationale for
            introduction of transaction tax is that it is expected to reduce speculation and volatility,
            and help markets discover efficient prices.

            However, in the empirical literature, there are no widely agreeable conclusions that
            support such an argument. At least, it is very difficult to establish that post-STT in India,
            both speculation and volatility has reduced in Indian stock markets. But the adverse
            impact of such taxes on trading volumes has been established by many studies.
            This is found to have resulted in reduction in tax base as well as tax revenues. At the same
            time, it discourages small savers and new participants from entering the market. Compared
            with 2004, now India has a much better tax infrastructure. It is not clear how far STT can
            still help reduce tax avoidance. This calls for a rigorous cost-benefit analysis of such
            policies.
            Recently, banks and others have argued for introducing CTT, so as to provide a level
            playing field among all segments of financial markets. This would be more ruinous.
            While acknowledging that banks are not allowed to enter the commodities market —
            although they should have been — the alternative cannot be introduction of CTT.
            There is no clear justification for introduction of CTT in India. The role of commodities
            markets is quite different from securities markets; the former is more linked to the real
            economy than the latter.
            Real Economy Linkages

            Unlike securities market, particularly the secondary market, commodity markets play a
            major role in price discovery, and at the same time help both producers and consumers
            hedge their risks, which are the basic functions of any futures market. They also help
            formalise the otherwise hugely informal commodity markets that were deriving inefficient
            prices and eroding the tax revenue base.
            In India, although the volumes in the commodity market have increased over the period,
            the participants’ base is still low. The transmission mechanism of prices and risks from the
            futures market to producers are still evolving. With regular intervention in the market
            (which is not there in securities market) and the low base of informed participants, these
            markets need to be developed further with a better regulatory framework.
            Moreover, this segment of the market is already disadvantaged by issues such as the
            absence of tax exemption (both on income and capital gains), limited participation, among
            other things. The median tax on the commodities traded is at 19.55 per cent, which is very
            high. Any introduction of CTT at this stage could potentially result in undesirable and
            not-so-efficient outcomes.

            Food Inflation Effects
            High food inflation since 2007 has been attributed to so-called speculative trading in
            commodities market. Hence, it was argued that there is a case for introduction of CTT.
                                                                                Contd...



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