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Unit 2: Decision Support




          Self Assessment                                                                       Notes

          Fill in the blanks:
          4.   .................... is the result of the interaction of the implementation of a decision strategy
               with the states of nature.

          5.   The rows are .................... choices a manager can make while the columns represent decision
               outcomes.
          6.   A .................... is analyzed in reverse order from right to left going back chronologically.


          2.3 Models

          The different types of models are discussed below:

          2.3.1 Rational-Economic (or Classical) Model

          The Rational-Economic (or Classical) Model consists of the following features:

               It is prescriptive in that it focuses on how decisions ought to be made.
               Assumes the decision maker is completely rational (i.e., seeks to maximize the payoff and
               utilizes a search process that proceeds in a planned, orderly and consistent fashion) and
               unbiased.

               Assumes that the decision maker has available all the information needed to make a
               decision and that all possible alternatives are considered.

               The decision maker selects the optimum or best choice.
               Decision making proceeds through the following sequence of steps: problem identification,
               development of criteria against which alternative solutions can be evaluated, identification
               of alternative courses of action, evaluation of alternatives, selection of the best alternative,
               and implementation.

          2.3.2 Administrative (or Behavioral) Model

          The Administrative (or Behavioral) Model consists of the following features:

               It is descriptive in that it describes how decisions are actually made.
               Decision makers seek to simplify problems and make them less complex because they are
               constrained by their individual capabilities (e.g., limited information processing ability)
               and by organizational conditions (e.g., availability of resources).
               Assumes that decision makers operate with limited (or “bounded”) rationality; this means
               that decision makers are rational within a simplified model which contains fewer
               components (e.g., fewer decision making criteria, fewer options, etc.).

               Assumes that decision makers identify a limited number of decision making criteria, that
               they examine a limited range of alternatives (only those which are easy to find, highly
               visible, have been tried before or are only slightly different from the status quo) and that
               they do not possess all the information needed to make a decision.
               The decision maker selects a satisficing alternative. This is an alternative that is “good
               enough” or satisfactory in that it meets the minimum criteria established for a desired
               solution.




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