Page 113 - DMGT409Basic Financial Management
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Basic Financial Management




                    Notes          Probability Distribution of Cash fl ow: Based on current conditions and projected performance

                                   the management believes that the expected cash  flow will be ` 50 million with a standard

                                   deviation of ` 30 million. The cash flow would be normally distributed. The initial cash balance
                                   of the company is ` l1.26 million.

                                   Fixed Charges:  The annual  fixed charges associated with various levels of debt would be as
                                   follows:
                                                 Level of Debt                      Annual Fixed Charges
                                   Upto ` 5 million                      ` 0.25 million for every ` 1 million of debt
                                   Between ` 5 million and ` 10 million   ` 0.26 million for every ` 1 million of debt
                                   Between ` 10 million and ` 15 million  ` 0.27 million for every ` 1 million of debt
                                   Debt Capacity: Given the above information the debt capacity may be established as follows:

                                   1.   Since the cash flow is normally distributed the following variable has a standard normal
                                       distribution (Z distribution):




                                   2.   The Z value corresponding to 5 per cent cumulative probability (which reflects the risk

                                       tolerance of the management) is -1.645.
                                   3.  Since m = ` 50 million, s = ` 30 million and the Z value corresponding to the risk tolerance

                                       limit is -1.645, the cash available from the operations of the firm to service the debt is equal
                                       to X which is defi ned as:
                                                                         = -1.645
                                       This means X = ` 0.65 million.
                                   4.   The total cash available for servicing the debt will be equal to:

                                       ` 0.65 milllion (cash available from operations)
                                       + ` 1.26 million (initial cash balance)
                                       = ` 1.91 million.
                                   5.   The level of debt that can be serviced with ` 1.91 million is a follows:

                                                       Amount             Annual fi xed charges
                                                 ` 5.00 million    0.25×5.00 = ` 1.25 million
                                                 ` 2.54 milliion   0.26×2.54 = ` 0.66 million
                                                 ` 7.54 million    ` 1.91 million




                                       Task  If debt is cheaper than equity, why do companies not fi nance their assets with 80
                                     per cent or 90 per cent debt ratio?
                                     The capital structure is the mixture of the various types of long-term sources of funds
                                     namely, equity share including retained earnings, preference shares debentures and long-

                                     term loans from financial institution. It is also known as fi nancial structure.

                                     Companies can use any source of  finance for their assets requirements. The required
                                     capital can be raised through any one of the following fi nancial plans.
                                     1.   Fully equity share capital plan,
                                                                                                         Contd...



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