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Quantitative Techniques – I




                    Notes          3.  Importance in national income accounting: The system of keeping the accounts of income
                                       and expenditure of a country is known as national income accounting. These accounts
                                       contain  information  on  various  macro-economic  variables  like  national  income,
                                       expenditure, production, savings, investments, volume of exports and imports,  etc. The
                                       national income accounts of a country are very useful in having an idea about the broad
                                       features of its economy or of a particular region. The preparation of these accounts require
                                       data, regarding various variables, at the macro-level. Since such information is very difficult,
                                       if not impossible, to obtain,  is often  estimated by  using techniques and principles  of
                                       statistics.
                                   4.  Importance in planning:  Planning is indispensable  for achieving  faster rate of growth
                                       through the best use of a nation’s resources. It also requires a good deal of statistical data
                                       on various aspects of the economy. One of the aims of planning could be to achieve a
                                       specified rate of growth of the economy. Using statistical techniques, it is possible to
                                       assess  the  amounts  of  various  resources available in the  economy and  accordingly
                                       determine whether the specified rate of growth is sustainable or not. The statistical analysis
                                       of data regarding an economy may reveal certain areas which  might require  special
                                       attention, e.g., a situation of growing unemployment or a situation of rising prices during
                                       past few years. Statistical  techniques and principles can also guide the Government in
                                       adopting suitable policy measures to rectify  such situations. In addition to this,  these
                                       techniques can be used to assess various policies of the Government in the past. Thus, it is
                                       rather impossible to think of a situation where planning and evaluation of various policies
                                       can be done without the use of statistical techniques. In view of this it is sometimes said
                                       that, “Planning without statistics is a ship without rudder and compass”. Hence statistics
                                       is an important tool for the quantification of various planning policies.
                                   5.  Importance in business:  With  the increase  in size of business  of a firm  and with the
                                       uncertainties  of business  because  of  cut  throat  competition,  the  need for  statistical
                                       information  and  statistical  analysis  of  various  business  situations  has  increased
                                       tremendously. Prior to this, when the size of business used to be smaller without much
                                       complexities, a  single person, usually owner  or manager  of the firm, used  to take  all
                                       decisions regarding its business. For example, he used to decide, from where the necessary
                                       raw materials and other factors of production were to be obtained, how much of output
                                       will be produced, where it will be sold,  etc. This type of decision-making was usually
                                       based on experience and expectations of this single man and as such had no scientific basis.
                                   The modern era is an era of mass production in which size and number of firms have increased
                                   enormously. The increase in the number of firms has resulted into cut throat competition among
                                   various firms and, consequently, the uncertainties in business have become greater than before.
                                   Under such circumstances, it has become almost impossible for a single man to take decisions
                                   regarding various aspects of a rather complex business. It is precisely this point from where the
                                   role of statistics started in business. Now a days no business, large or small, public or private,
                                   can  prosper  without  the  help  of  statistics.  Statistics  provides  necessary  techniques  to  a
                                   businessman for the formulation  of various policies with regard to his business.  In fact  the
                                   process of collection and analysis of data becomes necessary right from the stage of launching a
                                   particular business. Some of the stages of business where statistical analysis has become necessary
                                   are briefly discussed below:

                                   1.  Decisions regarding business, its location and size: Before starting a business it is necessary
                                       to know whether it will be worth while to undertake this. This involves a detailed analysis
                                       of its costs and benefits which can be done by using techniques and principles of statistics.
                                       Furthermore, statistics can also provide certain guidelines which may prove to be helpful
                                       in deciding the possible location and size of the proposed business.





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