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Unit 13: Binomial Probability Distribution



          3.   The total  number of possible values of the random variable are n  + 1. The successive  Notes
                                             n
                                         n
                                   n
                                                                     n
                                                                            n
                                                     n
               binomial coefficients are  C  ,  C  ,  C  , ....  C  Further, since  C =   C  ,  these
                                      0    1    2       n              r      n- r
               coefficients are symmetric.
               The values of these coefficients, for various values of n, can be obtained directly by using
               Pascal’s triangle.
                                          Pascal’s  Triangle








               We can note that it is very easy to write this triangle. In the first row, both the coefficients
                                 1
                                       1
               will be unity because  C =   C . To write the second row, we write 1 in the beginning
                                   0     1
               and the end and the value of the middle coefficients is obtained by adding the coefficients
               of the first row. Other rows of the Pascal’s triangle can be written in a similar way.
          4.   (a)  The shape and location of binomial distribution changes as the value of p changes
                    for a given value of n. It can be shown that for a given value of n, if p is increased
                    gradually in the interval (0, 0.5), the distribution changes from a positively skewed
                    to a symmetrical shape. When p = 0.5, the  distribution is perfectly symmetrical.
                    Further, for larger values of  p the distribution tends to  become more and  more
                    negatively skewed.
               (b)  For a given value  of p, which is neither too small nor too large, the distribution
                    becomes more and more symmetrical as n becomes larger and larger.

          13.3.2 Uses of Binomial Distribution

          Binomial distribution is often used in various decision making situations in business. Acceptance
          sampling plan, a technique of quality control, is based on this  distribution. With the use  of
          sampling plan, it is possible to accept or reject a lot of items either at the stage of its manufacture
          or at the stage of its purchase.



                         Decision Analysis
             Notes

             Decision making is needed whenever an individual or an organization (private or public)
             is faced with a situation of selecting an optimal (or best in view  of certain objectives)
             course of action from among several available alternatives. For example, an individual
             may have  to decide whether to build a house or to purchase a flat or live in a rented
             accommodation; whether to join a service or to start own business; which company’s car
             should be purchased, etc. Similarly, a business firm may have to decide the type of technique
             to be used in production, what is the most appropriate method of advertising its product,
             etc.
             The decision analysis provides certain criteria for the selection of a course of action such
             that the objective of the decision maker is satisfied. The course of action selected on the
             basis of such criteria is termed as the optimal course of action.




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