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Unit 3: Economic Environment of Business




                                                                                                Notes
             Zimbabwe failed to break Hungary's 1946 world  record for  hyperinflation. That  said,
             Zimbabwe did race past Yugoslavia in October 2008. In consequence, Zimbabwe can now
             lay  claim  to  second  place  in  the  world  hyperinflation  record  books.  Top  three
             hyperinflations are shown below:
                Country   Month with highest   Highest monthly   Equivalent   Time required
                            inflation rate   inflation rate   daily inflation   for prices to
                                                             rate         double
               Hungary   July 1946        1.30 × 10 %    195%          15.6 hours
                                                16
               Zimbabwe   Mid-November 2008   79,600,000,000%   98.0%   24.7 hours
                         (latest measurable)
               Yugoslavia   January 1994   313,000,000%   64.6%        1.4 days
          Source:  cato.org


          3.5.2 General Causes of Inflation in India

          Following are the main causes of inflation in India:
          1.   Supply Constraints
          2.   Demand Accelerators

          Following are the main supply constraints because of which prices rise in India:
          1.   Fluctuation in Agricultural Output: Even today to a great extent, agriculture in India is
               dependent on nature's blessings. Because of small individual holdings, the output per
               hectare  is very small in  India. Peasants are unable to use modern technology,  which
               makes them more vulnerable to nature. Also, they do not have a professional approach
               because of  which they can't select the right  crop according to the  climate and market
               demand. All this results in fluctuations in agricultural output. As the output declines in the
               country, their prices rise sharply. Since agricultural products get a high weightage in the
               index of wholesale prices, a rise in their price gets automatically reflected in the general
               price index.


                 Example: Since industrial workers spend a big amount of their incomes on food, a hike
          in food prices leads them to purchase other goods, whose prices also see a rise in times of failure
          of agriculture produce.
          2.   Hoarding of Essential Goods: Expectations of crop failures and speculations have always
               encouraged big farmers and intermediaries to hoard agricultural products in the expectation
               that the prices of those commodities would increase. Such activities have aggravated the
               price situation in India.

          3.   Low Growth of Industrial Sector: In India the performance of the industrial sector left
               much to be desired, especially in the early post-independence period. It was bad during
               1965-85 when it posted a measly growth of 4.7% per annum. Less production and rising
               gap between demand and supply resulted in inflation. The situation improved only after
               1991.
          4.   Increment in Administered Prices: The government used to fix the prices of a number of
               goods such as coal, steel, electricity, fertilizers, petroleum products, etc. To increase the
               revenue of the inefficient public sector, the government used to keep raising the prices.
               Because most of these goods are raw material for other goods, a rise in heir prices affects
               the general price level and leads to inflation in the economy.




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