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Unit 11: Project Cash Flow




          The graph above indicates that STN should invest only in projects A, C and D. In this case, we  Notes
          know STN's optimal budget is $5,400,000.
          There are two additional issues we need to discuss regarding a firm's choice of investment
          projects: (1) choosing between mutually exclusive projects, (2) evaluating marginal projects, and
          (3) risk adjustment.

          1.   Choosing between mutually exclusive projects: When a firm is faced with two mutually
               exclusive projects, it will have two IOS schedules. Similarly, three mutually  exclusive
               projects will lead to three IOS schedules. When we plot the IOS schedules using the IRRs of
               the projects, we cannot simply pick the mutually exclusive project with the highest IRR. A
               firm is interested more in maximizing its value, and this can only be done by choosing the
               project with the highest  NPV rather than the highest IRR.  If you remember from our
               earlier discussion on capital budgeting decisions, a higher IRR does not always translate
               into higher NPV for a project.
               In order to pick the right project, the firm needs to find the NPVs of the mutually exclusive
               projects. However, this cannot be done without knowing the marginal cost of capital. The
               firm needs the MCC schedule to determine the  marginal cost of capital (for each IOS
               schedule). Once the marginal  cost is determined, the  firm can find the  NPV for  each
               mutually exclusive project. The one with the highest NPV will be chosen.

          2.   Evaluating marginal project: So far, we have encountered projects with IRR either above
               the MCC or below the MCC. In situations like this, it is very easy for the financial manager
               to make the decisions: accept projects that have IRRs above the marginal cost of capital and
               reject projects that have IRRs below the marginal cost of capital. This situation is depicted
               in Scenario 1  in the following graph.  In this particular situation, the firm will  accept
               Projects A and B, and reject Projects C and D.
               However, what should the financial manager do if "part" of the project has an IRR above
               the marginal cost of capital but the rest of it below the marginal cost? This situation is
               depicted in Scenario 2 in the following graph. In this particular situation, part of Project C
               has an IRR higher than the marginal cost of capital and part of it has an IRR below the
               marginal cost of capital. If Project C is divisible (i.e. the firm can invest in all or parts of the
               project), then the firm will invest only in the portion of Project C that has an IRR above the
               marginal cost of capital.

                       Figure 11.5: Evaluation of Marginal Project in Scenario 1 and 2

                             IRR, WACC          IRR, WACC
                              A                    A
                                 B                    B
                                     C                    C
                                         D                    D
                                             New                  New
                                             Capital              Capital
                                  Scenario 1                                                 Scenario 2

                What if the project is not divisible? In that case, should it be rejected? The answer depends
               on the project's average cost. We will illustrate that with an example.


                 Example: Suppose the marginal project considered by Microsoft has an IRR of 12%. We
          know that the  project has an initial cost of $100,000. The first $60,000 of the  project can be
          financed at a cost of 10%, and the last $40,000 at a cost of 14%. Should the project be accepted?



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