Page 242 - DMGT521_PROJECT_MANAGEMENT
P. 242

Unit 13: PERT, CPM and Time Estimation




          13.12 Summary                                                                         Notes

              CPM was the discovery of M.R. Walker of E.I. DuPont de Nemours & Co. and J.E. Kelly of
               Remington Rand, circa 1957.

              PERT was devised in 1958 for the POLARIS missile program by the Program Evaluation
               Branch of the Special Projects office of the U.S. Navy.

              There have been several extensions to both network and chart forms of project scheduling.
              Planning, Scheduling (or organising) and Control are considered to be basic Managerial
               functions.

              In our Social Project, the Project Manager is now not so certain that each activity will be
               completed on the basis of the single estimate.
              The Beta distribution is appropriate for calculation of activity durations.

              One shortcoming of the PERT/CPM network method is that it does not allow for leads and
               lags between two activities without greatly increasing the number of sub-activities to
               account for this.
              Far more than the technical benefits, it was found that PERT/CPM provided a focus around
               which managers could brainstorm and put their ideas together.

              There are  many variations  of PERT/CPM which have  been useful in planning  costs,
               scheduling manpower and machine time.

          13.13 Keywords

          Critical Path: Critical Path is the longest pathway taken from the initial event to the terminal
          event.
          Expected Length of a Project: It is simply the sum of their separate expected lengths.
          Free Float: It is the spare time available when all preceding activities occur at the earliest possible
          times and all succeeding activities occur at the earliest possible times.
          Pessimistic Time: Pessimistic time (P) is the maximum possible time required to accomplish a
          task, assuming everything goes wrong (but excluding major catastrophes).

          PERT: PERT assumes that the expected length of a project (or a sequence of independent activities)
          is simply the sum of their separate expected lengths.
          Slack: The slack of an event is a measure of the excess time and resources available in achieving
          this event. Positive slack would indicate ahead of schedule; negative slack would indicate behind
          schedule; and zero slack would indicate on schedule.
          Time Estimation: Accurate time estimation is a skill essential for good project management.
          Total Float: It is the spare time available when all preceding  activities  occur at the earliest
          possible times and all succeeding activities occur at the latest possible times.
          13.14 Review Questions


          1.   Describe about the brief history and language of CRM.
          2.   Discuss about the framework of PERT and CPM.
          3.   Discuss about Network Techniques of Project Management.




                                           LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY                                   237
   237   238   239   240   241   242   243   244   245   246   247