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Unit 6: Effort Estimation




             This is the first time that the grouping has gone to a town other than metros and three  Notes
             bellwether industry locations in south India.
             According to Mr Mittal, the term “recession” is being loosely bandied about to qualify the
             times we are in.
             This is unwarranted, he said, adding that unlike in 2008, the situation can be only described
             “uncertain” at best. The private sector in the US is still doing well.
             Mr Pawar concurred with this view, substantiating it in terms of numbers. In 1990, software
             exports amounted to $1 billion.

             This was followed by a decade described as the “golden age” when, during 1990-2000, the
             exports figure jumped to $8.2 billion.
             The subsequent decade, which has just passed, witnessed a growth nine times over to $75
             billion.
             In doing so, it survived the 9/11 tragedy, the Mumbai terrorist attack aftermath and the
             year 2008 recession.
             So there’s no reason to doubt the resilience of the industry in doing what it has been till
             now.

             According to Mr V. K. Mathews, Executive Chairman, IBS Group, and a member of the
             Executive Council, the India BPO sector still enjoyed the cost advantage.
             “Uncertain” times also  call for belt tightening, which will bring the  US and European
             companies looking to offshore work even more.
             Mr Mittal conceded that the deal sizes may have shrunk in size, but the volumes are being
             maintained.
             “We are finding  traction in transformational deals  as companies increasingly look  to
             move applications to cloud, mobile and social media platforms,” he said.

          6.8 Summary


              MANY PEOPLE HAVE REFERRED TO ESTIMATION AS A “BLACK ART.” This makes
               some intuitive sense: at first glance, it might seem that estimation is a highly subjective
               process.
              Inaccurate estimates and misconceptions about the estimating process often contribute to
               failed projects.
              When infeasible plans are implemented, the result is often missed deadlines, inadequate
               performance and/or poor quality.

              Project work estimation has three phases: the initial first cut, commonly known as SWAG
               (scientific wild-ass guess), tracking the estimate against the actual numbers, and using the
               schedule to see what’s happening in your project.

              If you’ve been assigned project estimates, or if your project estimates aren’t particularly
               close to reality, don’t fret. Try these techniques to make and learn about your estimates.

              Software systems, unless they are thoroughly understood, can be like an ice berg. They are
               becoming more and more difficult to understand.
               Improvement of coding tools allows software developers to produce large amounts of
               software to meet an ever expanding need from users.




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