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International Financial Management




                    Notes          few minutes work. The example has, however, not deducted the transactions expenses, telephone
                                   charges and other costs associated with conducting the deal, from the profit. Since these costs are
                                   minimal, we tend to ignore them here.
                                   However, as Arbitrage continues, the exchange rate between the two currencies tends to get
                                   equalised in the two monetary centres. What actually happens is that the sale of pounds in
                                   London increases the supply of pounds there, thus resulting in a decrease in the dollar price of
                                   pounds in London. In New York, Arbitrage increases the demand for pounds in New York
                                   thereby increasing the dollar price of pounds in New York. This process continues till the dollar
                                   prices become equal in the two countries so that Arbitrage does not remain profitable now.

                                   In the above example, only two currencies and two monetary centres were involved in the
                                   Arbitrage analysis. When this is so, we have Two-point Arbitrage. When three currencies and
                                   three monetary centres are involved, we have a triangular or three-point Arbitrage. Triangular
                                   Arbitrage also operates in the same manner as Two-point Arbitrage, though it is not very
                                   popular. Triangular Arbitrage operates so as to ensure consistent Indirect or cross exchange
                                   rates between the three currencies in the three monetary centres.
                                   Consider the following exchange rates

                                   $2 = £1 in New York
                                   £0.2 = 1 DM in London
                                   2.5 DM = $1 in Frankfurt
                                   These Cross Rates are consistent because $2 = £1 = 5DM and no possibility of profitable Arbitrage
                                   exists. But if the dollar price of pounds was $1.96 in New York, with other exchange rates
                                   remaining the same, then it would pay to use $1.96 to purchase £1 in New York, use the £1 to buy
                                   5DM in London and exchange the 5DM in London for $2 in Frankfurt thus realising a $0.04 profit
                                   on each pound transferred.

                                   Thus, Triangular Arbitrage eliminates inconsistent Cross Rates and the profitability of further
                                   Arbitrage by increasing the demand for the Currency in the monetary centre where the Currency
                                   is cheaper and by also increasing the supply of the Currency in the monetary centre where the
                                   Currency is more expensive. In effect, Triangular Arbitrage results in consistent Cross Rates
                                   among all pairs of currencies, thus helping to unify all international monetary centres into a
                                   single market.

                                   Self Assessment

                                   State whether the following statement is true or false:

                                   3.  The term “Arbitrage” refers to the purchase of a Currency by Speculators in the monetary
                                       centre where it is cheaper for immediate resale in the monetary centre where it is more
                                       expensive so as to make a profit.




                                     Caselet     Apex Corporation (CIA)

                                            pex Corp. is a US based MNC that has been in international business for the last
                                            several years. It has been conducting business with all the major countries of the
                                     Aworld. One of the countries has allowed for its Currency value to be market
                                     determined. The Spot rate of Currency is $.85. In addition the one year forward rate being
                                                                                                         Contd...



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