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Quantitative Techniques – I




                    Notes                       p q
                                                1i i
                                                                                      th
                                   We note that   p q   is the proportion of expenditure on the i  commodity before the change
                                                  1i i
                                   of price.
                                   Alternatively, the above equation can be written as:
                                         Proportionate Change in   Proportion of expenditure  Proportionate Change in
                                          price of the commodity          on the  commodity        the cost of living

                                   It may be pointed out here that the above result assumes that the consumption of the commodity
                                   remains unchanged as a result of change in its price.


                                                Consumer price index number was formerly known as cost of living index.
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                                   Self Assessment

                                   Fill in the blanks:
                                   15.  Weighted aggregative and weighted arithmetic average of price relatives, are ...................

                                   16.  One type of index number can be obtained from the other by .......................... of weights.
                                   17.  The weighted  aggregative  index  numbers  are  .......................  to  calculate  and  have
                                       .............................. interpretation.

                                   10.10 Chain Base Index Numbers


                                   So far, we have considered index numbers where comparisons of various periods were done
                                   with reference to a particular period, termed as base period. Such type of index number series is
                                   known as fixed base series. There are several examples of fixed base series like the series of
                                   index numbers of industrial production, of agricultural production, of wholesale prices, etc. The
                                   main problem with a fixed base series arises when the base year becomes too distant from the
                                   current year. In such a situation, it may happen that commodities which used to be very important
                                   in the base year are no longer so in current year. Furthermore, certain new commodities might
                                   be in use while some old commodities are dropped in current year. In short, this implies that the
                                   relative importance of various items is likely to change and, therefore, the comparison of  a
                                   particular year with a  remote base year may  appear to be meaningless. A way  out to this
                                   problem is to construct Chain Base Index Numbers, where current year is compared with its
                                   preceding year.
                                   Similar to price relatives, here we define link relatives. A  link relative of a  commodity in a
                                   particular year is equal to the ratio of this year’s price to last year’s price multiplied by hundred.
                                                                                                      p
                                   Using symbols, the link relative of i th commodity in period t is written as  L  ti  100 .
                                                                                                 ti
                                                                                                     p
                                                                                                      t  1i
                                   When there are n commodities, the chain base index for period t is given by a suitable average
                                   of their link relatives. For example, taking simple arithmetic mean of link relatives we can write
                                                                          p t
                                                              L t            100
                                   the chain base index as   P CB  100   p t  1                    .... (1)
                                                       t
                                                             n             n
                                   We may note here that a chain base index is equal to link relative of a commodity when there is
                                   only one commodity.




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