Page 229 - DCOM203_DMGT204_QUANTITATIVE_TECHNIQUES_I
P. 229

Quantitative Techniques – I                                     Dilfraz Singh, Lovely Professional University




                    Notes                           Unit 11: Analysis of Time Series


                                     CONTENTS
                                     Objectives

                                     Introduction

                                     11.1 Time Series
                                          11.1.1  Objectives of Time Series Analysis
                                          11.1.2  Components of a Time Series

                                          11.1.3  Analysis of Time Series

                                          11.1.4  Method of Averages
                                     11.2 Seasonal Variations
                                          11.2.1  Methods of Measuring Seasonal Variations

                                     11.3 Summary

                                     11.4 Keywords
                                     11.5 Review Questions
                                     11.6 Further Readings

                                   Objectives


                                   After studying this unit, you will be able to:

                                       Define the term time series
                                       Discuss the objective and components of time series
                                       Make analysis of time series

                                       Brief about seasonal variations

                                       Explain various methods  of measuring  seasonal variations and state their merits  and
                                       demerits

                                   Introduction

                                   The data  on the  population of  India is  a time series data where time interval between  two
                                   successive figures is 10 years. Similarly figures of national income, agricultural and industrial
                                   production, etc., are available on yearly basis.



                                     Did u know?   The  successive intervals are usually  equal  time intervals,  e.g.,  it can be
                                     10 years, a year, a quarter, a month, a week, a day, an hour,  etc.







          224                               LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   224   225   226   227   228   229   230   231   232   233   234