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Unit 13: Macro Economic Policies: Monetary Policy




          securities, open market operations including ‘repo’ and ‘reverse repo’ operations emerged for  Notes
          the first time as an instrument  of monetary  control. Bank Rate acquired  a new  role in  the
          changed context. The Nineties paved the way for the emergence  of monetary  policy as  an
          independent instrument of economic policy.
          Monetary policy in the 1990s had also to be conducted in the context of the financial sector
          reforms. The need to reduce non-performing assets and to conform to the new prudential norms
          put the banking industry under great strain. While introducing banking sector reforms, care had
          to be taken to ensure that there was no  compromise with the basic objectives of monetary
          policy.

          Developments in Monetary Policy in India

          In its annual monetary policy review for 2010-11, RBI increased its policy rates.

          Repo rate and Reverse repo rate increased by 25 bps to 5.25% and 3.75% respectively, with immediate
          effect. Impact: Repo is the rate at which banks borrow from RBI and Reverse Repo is the rate at
          which banks deploy their surplus funds with RBI. Both these rates are used by financial system
          for overnight lending and borrowing purposes. An increase in these policy rates imply borrowing
          and lending costs for banks would increase and this should lead to overall increase in interest
          rates like credit, deposit, etc. The higher interest rates will in turn lead to lower demand and
          thereby lower inflation. The move was in line with market expectations
          Cash reserve ratio (CRR) increased by 25 bps to 6.00%, to apply from fortnight beginning from 24 April
          2010. Impact: When banks raise demand and time deposits, they are required to keep a certain
          percent with RBI.  This percent  is called CRR. An increase in CRR implies  banks would  be
          required to keep higher percentage of fresh deposits with RBI. This will lead to lower liquidity
          in the  system. Higher  liquidity leads  to asset price inflation  and also  leads to  build up  of
          inflationary expectations. Before the policy, market participants were divided over CRR. Some
          felt CRR should not be raised as liquidity would be needed to manage the government borrowing
          program, 3-G auctions and credit growth. Others felt CRR should be increased to check excess
          liquidity into the system which was feeding into asset price inflation and general inflationary
          expectations. Some in the second group even advocated a 50 bps hike in CRR.

          By increasing the rate by 25 bps, RBI has signalled that though it wants to tighten liquidity it also
          wants to keep ample liquidity to meet the outflows. Governor’s statement added that in 2010-11,
          despite lower budgeted borrowings,  fresh issuance will be around   342300 cr compared  to
            251000 cr last year.
                              Table  13.1: RBI’s Domestic  Outlook for  2010-11


                                     2009-10 targets    2009-10       2010-11 targets
                                     (Jan 10 Policy)   Actual Numbers   (Apr 10 Policy)
             GDP                    7.5             Expected at 7.2 by  8 with an upward
                                                    CSO              bias
             Inflation (based on WPI,   8.5         9.9              5.5
             for March end)
             Money Supply (March    16.5            17.3             17
             end)
             Credit (March end)     16              17               20
             Deposit (March end)    17              17.1             18
             Source: RBI







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