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Unit 14:  Emergence of Middle Class System


            consumption. Packet modernity or modernity of the pocket. Neat, attractive and well-bound,  Notes
            pocket modernity, best symbolised by the remote control or the mobile phone, can be hand-held
            and controlled. Its powers are (literally) graspable. It is amenable to easeful handling. Its jolts are
            controlled by the button and, best of all, it requires no fine tuning of the mind. Pocket modernity
            is politically conservative and socially and economically exclusive. It feeds middle class
            conservatism, pitching its sales talk at “family” and “Indian culture.” Raymonds and Indian
            marriages or MacDonalds and vegetarian families. Is it at all surprising that the great Indian
            middle class offers the most Willing ears to the Hindu right, whose cultural organisations aim to
            preserve “national” symbols as the “sanctity of womanhood” and whose political organisations
            encourage disinvestment, privatisation and enhanced entry of multinational companies.




                    The middle class Indian flees from modernity of the mind. Freedom terrifies him because
                    it demands individual responsibility. Collective (read caste and family) responsibility
                    offers a security that is difficult to resist. Female modernity challenges his patriarchal
                    authority and opens up the frightening abyss of sexual choice.

            The Great Indian Middle Class
            A truer measure of India’s failure is not its present level of poverty, but its inability to create a
            middle-class. India’s middle-class constituted less than 10% of the population in 1984 and 1985,
            according to the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER). Since then, it has more
            than tripled, but is still less than 20%. If our country’s economy grows 7% over the foreseeable
            future and if the population increases anually by 1.5%, if the literacy rate keeps rising and if we
            assume the historical middle-class growth rate of the past 15 years, then half of India will turn
            middle class between 2020 and 2040.
            The growth of the middle class and the economic growth of India are in a virtuous cycle. Rising
            incomes lead to more consumption, which in turn leads to higher economic growth, then more
            employment opportunities and subsequently higher wages and the circle starts again.
            Thus, as the middle class grows and continues to increase domestic demand, the economy will
            also continue to grow. In terms of consumption, real private consumption (including both
            households and private companies) accounts for approximately 55% of GDP. The growth of the
            middle class will continue to increase household consumption in the country. The middle class
            also demands better healthcare and education. In addition to the benefit of strengthening human
            capital stocks l0 and thus productivity, this also leads to more private expenditure on healthcare
            and education and thus improvements in existing infrastructure. In fact, the CLSA survey of
            middle income and upper-middle income behaviour showed that education was the third largest
            household expenditure behind essentials such as rent/mortgage and groceries. In terms of
            investment (already around 35% of GDP), the growth of the middle class will also make an impact
            as it will force more business to expand or new business to take root.
            The middle-class is also increasing its share of financial investments and thus providing new
            sources of capital for companies. Although household savings and investment rates as a per cent
            of GDP have remained relatively the same over the past several years, investment in shares and
            bonds has risen over the past several years. As the middle class recovers from the crisis, this trend
            should continue.
            When half the population in a society is middle class, its politics will change. Its world view will
            be different, its poor will be fewer - and society will have greater means to look after them. Thus,
            to focus on the middle class is to focus on prosperity. This is unlike in the past, when our focus has
            been on redistributing poverty. This does not mean that we are becoming callous. On the contrary,
            the whole purpose of the enterprise is to lift the poor - and lift them into the middle class.




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