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International Trade and Finance



                  Notes          Self-Assessment
                                 1. Choose the correct options:
                                     (i) The Asian financial crisis is generally considered to have started on July 2
                                        (a) 1988                            (b) 1997
                                            (c) 1999                        (d) 1990
                                     (ii) By the end of   1990s, a handful of East European economies including-----had made successful
                                        transitions to the capitalist order.
                                        (a) Poland                          (b) Hungary
                                        (c) Czech Republic                  (d) All of these
                                 26.3 Summary


                                 •    The most surprising result of several studies was that the bulk of Asian output growth could be
                                      explained simply by the rapid growth of production inputs—capital and labor—and that there
                                      had been relatively little increase in productivity, that is, in output per unit of input. Thus in
                                      South Korea, for example, the convergence toward advanced-country output per capita appeared
                                      to be mainly due to a rapid shift of workers from agriculture to industry, a rise in educational
                                      levels, and a massive increase in the capital-labor ratio within the nonagricultural sector. Evidence
                                      for a narrowing of the technological gap with the West was unexpectedly hard to find.
                                 •    In Asian economies, however, bankruptcy law was weak, in part because the astonishing growth
                                      of the economies had made corporate failures a rare event. When times did turn bad, a destructive
                                      impasse developed. Troubled companies would simply stop paying their debts. They then could
                                      not operate effectively because nobody would lend to them until the outstanding debts were
                                      repaid. Yet the creditors lacked any way to seize the limping enterprises from their original
                                      owners.
                                 •    The Asian financial crisis is generally considered to have started on July 2, 1997, with the
                                      devaluation of the Thai baht. Thailand had been showing signs of financial strain for more than
                                      a year. During 1996 it became apparent that far too many office towers had been built; first the
                                      nation’s real estate market, then its stock market, went into decline. In the first half of 1997
                                      speculation about a possible devaluation of the baht led to an accelerating loss of foreign exchange
                                      reserves, and on July 2 the country attempted a controlled 15 percent devaluation.
                                 •    Asia’s woes sparked a general flight by investors from emerging markets, putting severe pressure
                                      on the economic policies of distant developing nations. Russia was affected soon after.
                                 •    The emerging market crisis that started with Thailand’s 1997 devaluation produced what might
                                      be called an orgy of finger-pointing. Some Westerners blamed the crisis on the policies of the
                                      Asians themselves, especially the “crony capitalism” under which businesspeople and politicians
                                      had excessively cozy relationships. Some Asian leaders, in turn, blamed the crisis on the
                                      machinations of Western financiers; even Hong Kong, normally a bastion of free market
                                      sentiment, began intervening to block what it described as a conspiracy by speculators to drive
                                      down its stock market and undermine its currency.
                                 26.4 Key-Words

                                 1. Financial crisis  : The term financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which
                                                     some financial assets suddenly lose a large part of their nominal value. In
                                                     the 19th and early 20th centuries, many financial crises were associated with
                                                     banking panics, and many recessions coincided with these panics. Other
                                                     situations that are often called financial crises include stock market crashes
                                                     and the bursting of other financial bubbles, currency crises, and sovereign
                                                     defaults.



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