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Unit 23: Regression Analysis



                                           Calculation  table                                     Notes

                   Marks in Eco. Marks in Stat.                            2    2
                                                          =
                                                =
                       ( X )         ( Y )     u X - 31  v Y - 41   uv    u    v
                        25            43          - 6         2    - 12   36    4
                        28            46          - 3         5    - 15    9   25
                        35            49           4          8      32   16   64
                        32            41            1         0       0    1    0
                        31            36           0        - 5       0    0   25
                        36            32           5        - 9    - 45   25   81
                        29            31          - 2      - 10      20    4  100
                        38            30           7       - 11    - 77   49  121
                        34            33           3        - 8    - 24    9   64
                        32            39            1       - 2     - 2    1    4
                       Total                       10      - 30    - 123  150 488

            From the table, we have

                               10                30
                       X =  31+   =  32  and Y =  41-  =  38.
                               10                10
            (a)  The lines of regression
                 (i)  Regression of Y on X

                                      n uv - å   )( v )  - 1230 300
                                       å
                                             ( u å
                                                              +
                                   b =      2      2  =            = -  0.66
                                                             -
                                               ( u
                                         å
                                        n u - å   )      1500 100
                                   a =Y - bX   = 38 + 0.66 × 32 = 59.26
                         Regression equation is
                                  Y  = 59.26 - 0.66X
                                    C
                 (ii)  Regression of X on Y
                                      n uv - å   )( v )  -  1230 300
                                                              +
                                       å
                                             ( u å
                                   d =             2   =           = -  0.23
                                            2
                                                              -
                                               ( v
                                         å
                                        n v - å   )      4880 900
                                                +
                                   c =  X -  dY = 32 0 23 38  = 4088
                                                             .
                                                     ´
                                                   .
                         Regression equation is
                                  X  = 40.88 – 0.23Y
                                    C
            (b)  Coefficient of correlation
                             r =  b d = - -  0.66 ´ - 0.23 = - 0.39
                                   ×
                 Note that r, b and d are of same sign.
            (c)  Since we have to estimate marks in statistics denoted by Y, therefore, regression of Y on X
                 will be used. The most likely marks in statistics when marks in economics are 30, is given
                 by
                 Y  = 59.26 - 0.66 × 30 = 39.33
                  C




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