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Unit 8: Laws of Production





             double revenues every two years. Sustaining profitability in the face of such expansion is   Notes
             an extremely challenging task.
             For now, this is a challenge Indian infotech companies seem to be losing. The ROCE for
             three Indian majors fell by 7 per cent annually over 1994-96. At the same time IBM Microsoft
             and SAP managed to improve this ratio by 17 per cent.
             There are some exceptions, however. The cement industry, which has focused on
             productivity rather than on growth, has done very well in this dimension when compared
             to their global counterparts. While Mexico’s Cemex has grown about three times fast as
             India’s ACC, Indian cement companies have consistently delivered better results, not only

             on absolute profitability ratios, but also on absolute profitability growth. They show a

             growth of 24 per cent in return on capital employed while international players show only
             8.4 per cent. Labour productivity, which actually fell for most industries over 1994-96, has
             improved at 2.5 per cent per annum for cement.
             The engineering industry also matches up to the performance standards of the best in the
             world. Companies like Cummins India has always pushed for growth as is evidenced by
             its 27 per cent rate of growth, but not at the cost of present and future profi tability. The
             company shows a healthy excess of almost 30 per cent over WACC, displaying great future
             promise.

             BHEL, the public sector giant, has seen similar success and the share price rose by 25 per cent
             despite an indecisive sensex. The only note of caution: Indian engineering companies have
             not been able to improve labour productivity over time, while international engineering
             companies like ABB, Siemens and Cummins Engines have achieved about 13.5 per cent
             growth in labour productivity, on an average, in the same period.

             The pharmaceuticals industry is where the problems seem to be the worst, with growth
             emphasised at the cost of all other performance. They have been growing at over 22 per cent,
             while their ROCE fell at 15.9 per cent per annum and labour productivity at 7 per cent.
             Compare this with some of the best pharmaceutical companies of the world – Glaxo

             Wellcome, SmithKline Beecham and Pfizer –who have consistently achieved growth of
             15-20 per cent, while improving returns on capital employed at about 25 per cent and
             labour productivity at 8 per cent. Ranbaxy is not an exception; the bias for growth at the
             cost of labour and capital productivity is also manifest in the performance of other Indian
             pharma companies. What makes this even worse is the Indian companies barely manage
             to cover their cost of capital, while their competitors worldwide such as Glaxo and Pfi zer
             earn an average ROCE of 65 per cent.
             In the Indian textile industry, Arvind Mills was once the shining star. Like Reliance, it
             had learnt to cook sweet and sour. Between 1994 and 1996, it grew at an average of 30 per
             cent per annum to become the world’s largest denim producer. At the same time, it also
             operated a tight ship, improving labour productivity by 20 per cent.
             Despite the excellent performance in the past, there are warning signals for Arvind’s
             future. The excess over the WACC is only 1.5 per cent, implying it barely manages to
             satisfy its investors expectations of return and does not really have a surplus to re-invest in
             the business. Apparently, investors also think so, for Arvind’s stock price has been falling
             since Q4 1994 despite such excellent results and, at the end of the fi rst quarter of 1998, is
             less than ` 70 compared to ` 170 at the end of 1994.

             Unfortunately, Arvind’s deteriorating  financial returns over the last few years is also
             typical of the Indian textile industry. The top three Indian companies actually showed
             a decline in their return ratios in contrast to the international majors. Nike, VF Corp and
             Coats Viyella showed a growth in their returns on capital employed of 6.2 per cent, while
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