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Quantitative Techniques-II



                      Notes         Equation (1), on taking sum and dividing by n, can be written as

                                       X            X         X
                                         1c
                                            a    b    2    b  3      or      X   a    b  X   b  X     .... (4)
                                       n     1.23  12.3  n  13.2  n              1   1.23  12.3  2  13.2  3




                                       Notes       X  = X .
                                                     1    1c
                                    Subtracting (4) from (1), we have

                                                                                            x 
                                                          b
                                                X   X  =   X   X 2  b  13.2 X   X  3    or  x   b 12.3 2  b 13.2 x  3  .... (5)
                                                                            3
                                                                                      1c
                                                           12.3
                                                               2
                                                 1c  1
                                    where       X   X  =  x  , X   X   x    and  X   X   x  .
                                                 1c  1     1c  2   2   2      3   3   3
                                    Similarly, we can write equations (2) and (3) as
                                                    x   = b  x  + b  x                                      .... (6)
                                                     2c    21.3 1  23.1 3
                                    and             x   = b  x  + b  x , respectively.                      .... (7)
                                                     3c    31.2 1  32.1 2
                                       Notes  The subscript of the coefficients preceding the dot are termed as primary subscripts
                                       while those appearing after it are termed as secondary subscripts. The number of secondary
                                       subscripts gives the order of the regression coefficient, e.g., b   is regression coefficient of
                                                                                       12.3
                                       order one, etc.

                                    Least Square Estimates of Regression Coefficients

                                    Let us first estimate the coefficients of regression equation (5). Given n observations on each of
                                    the three variables X , X  and X , we have to find the values of the constants b   and b  X  so
                                                     1  2     3                                     12.3   13.2  3
                                    that is minimised. Using method of least squares, the normal equations can be written as

                                                      x x   b 12.3  x   b 13.2  x x                    .... (8)
                                                                 2
                                                                         2 3
                                                                2
                                                      1 2
                                                      x x   b 12.3 x x   b 13.2  x 3  2                .... (9)
                                                                2 3
                                                      1 3
                                    Solving the above equations simultaneously, we get
                                                              x x   x 3 2    x x   x x 3 
                                                                       
                                                                            1 3
                                                                                   2
                                                              1 2
                                                   b    =                         2                        .... (10)
                                                    12.3          2     2
                                                                         
                                                                x  2   x   x x  3 
                                                                        3
                                                                               2
                                                              x x   x   x x   x x  
                                                                     2
                                                                       
                                                   b    =     1 3    2      1 2   2  2  3                  .... (11)
                                                    13.2          2     2
                                                                         
                                                                x  2   x   x x  3 
                                                                               2
                                                                        3
                                    Using equation (4), we can find  a    X   b  X   b  X  .
                                                               1.23  1  12.3  2  13.2  3
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