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Operations Research




                    Notes          3.  Average interval between successive intervals is 0.2 hour.

                                       Average arrival rate, l =   = 5 arrivals per hour.

                                       Average Inter-arrival time,    = 0.2 hour.
                                   Similarly, in the following service situations, the average service rate per hour, µ and average
                                   service time in hours are determined.
                                   1.  One service is completed in 10 minutes.

                                       Average service rate, m =   = 6 services per hour.



                                       Average service time,   =   = 10 minutes or 0.166 hour.
                                   2.  Number of customers served in 15 minutes is 4.


                                       Average service rate, m =   × 60 =16 services per hour.


                                       Average services time,  =   = 3.75 mins or 0.0625 hour.
                                   3.  Average service time is 0.25 hour.
                                       Average service rate, m = 4 services per hour.

                                       Average service time  = 15 mins or 0.25 hour.


                                          Example: In a factory, the machines break down and  require service according to a
                                   Poisson distribution at the average of four per day. What is the probability that exactly  six
                                   machines break down in two days?
                                   Solution:
                                   Given                     = 4, n = 6, t =2

                                                        P(n, t) = P(6, 4) when l = 4
                                                                   
                                                                 
                                   we know,             P(n, t) =

                                                                     
                                                        P(6,2) =


                                                             =
                                                             = 0.1221


                                        Example: On an average, 6 customers arrive  in a coffee shop per hour. Determine the
                                   probability that exactly 3 customers will reach in a 30 minute period, assuming that the arrivals
                                   follow Poisson distribution.








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