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Research Methodology




                    Notes
                                   or                           X =  a  +  b  X +  b  X                   .... (4)
                                                                  1  1.23  12.3  2  13.2  3
                                   Note: X  = X .
                                          1    1c
                                   Subtracting (4) from (1), we have
                                                       X - X  = b  (X -  X  ) b+  (X -  X  )   or  x =  b  x +  b  x 3 .... (5)
                                                         1c  1   12.3  2  2  13.2  3  3    1c  12.3 2  13.2

                                   where               X - X  = x  , X -  X =  x    and  X -  X =  x  .
                                                         1c  1   1c  2   2  2      3   3  3
                                   Similarly, we can write equations (2) and (3) as
                                                            x  = b  x  + b  x                             .... (6)
                                                             2c  21.3 1  23.1 3
                                   and                      x  = b  x  + b  x , respectively.             .... (7)
                                                             3c  31.2 1  32.1 2



                                     Notes   The subscript of the coefficients preceding the dot are termed as primary subscripts
                                     while those appearing after it are termed as secondary subscripts. The number of secondary
                                     subscripts gives the order of the regression coefficient, e.g., b   is regression coefficient of
                                                                                     12.3
                                     order one, etc.

                                   Least Square Estimates of Regression Coefficients
                                   Let us first estimate the coefficients of regression equation (5). Given n observations on each of
                                   the three variables X , X  and X , we have to find the values of the constants b   and b  X  so
                                                   1  2     3                                     12.3   13.2  3
                                   that  is minimised. Using method of least squares, the normal equations can be written as
                                                                å x x =  b 12.3å x + b 13.2å x x  3       .... (8)
                                                                             2
                                                                   1 2
                                                                              2
                                                                                      2
                                                                å x x =  b 12.3å x x +  b 13.2å x 2 3     .... (9)
                                                                   1 3
                                                                               3
                                                                              2
                                   Solving the above equations simultaneously, we get
                                                                (å x x  )(å x -  x x  )(å  x x )
                                                                            ) (å
                                                                           2
                                                           b    =   1 2    3      1 3  2  2 3            .... (10)
                                                                              ) (å
                                                            12.3    (å x 2 2 )(å x -  x x )
                                                                             2
                                                                                    2 3
                                                                             3
                                                                            ) (å
                                                                (å x x  )(å x -  x x  )(å  x x )
                                                                           2
                                                           b    =   1 3    2      1 2   2 3              .... (11)
                                                                              ) (å
                                                                    (å x 2 2 )(å x -  x x
                                                            13.2                      ) 2
                                                                             2
                                                                                    2 3
                                                                             3
                                   Using equation (4), we can find  a  =  X -  b  X - b  X  .
                                                             1.23  1  12.3  2  13.2  3
                                     Notes
                                     1.   Various sums of squares and sums of products of deviations, used above, can be
                                                                                 (å X  )(å X  )
                                                                     p q å
                                          computed using the formula  å x x =  X X -  p    q  . For example, put p
                                                                            p
                                                                              q
                                                                                      n
                                          = 1 and q = 2 in the formula to obtain SX X  and put p = q = 2, to obtain  å  x  2 2 , etc.
                                                                          1  2
                                                                                                         Contd...
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