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Security Analysis and Portfolio Management                           Neha Khosla, Lovely Professional University




                    Notes                           Unit 7: Efficient Market Theory


                                     CONTENTS
                                     Objectives
                                     Introduction

                                     7.1  Efficient Market Hypotheses
                                     7.2  Efficient Frontier: (i) Risk-free and (ii) Risky Lending and  Borrowing
                                     7.3  Benefits of an Efficient Market (Investors Utility)

                                     7.4  Evidence for Market Efficiency
                                     7.5  The Efficient Frontier and Portfolio Diversification
                                     7.6  Forms of the Efficient Market Hypothesis
                                     7.7  Testing Market Efficiency
                                     7.8  Are the Markets Efficient?

                                     7.9  Summary
                                     7.10 Keywords
                                     7.11 Self Assessment

                                     7.12 Review Questions
                                     7.13 Further Readings

                                   Objectives

                                   After studying this unit, you will be able to:
                                       Discuss forms of the Efficient Market Theory
                                       Explain the concept of weak form and random walk, semi-strong form

                                       Describe strong form efficient market hypothesis
                                       Discuss implications of efficient market hypothesis
                                       Understand efficient market theory and appraisal

                                   Introduction


                                   An efficient capital market is one in which security prices adjust rapidly to the arrival of new
                                   information and, therefore, the  current prices  of securities reflect all information about the
                                   security. Some of the most interesting and important academic researches during the past 20
                                   years have analyzed whether our capital markets are efficient or not. This extensive research is
                                   important because its results have significant real-world implications for investors and portfolio
                                   managers. In addition, the question of whether capital markets are efficient is one of the most
                                   controversial areas in investment research. Recently, a new dimension has been added to the
                                   controversy because of the rapidly expanding research in behavioural finance that likewise has
                                   major implications regarding the concept of efficient capital markets. You need to understand
                                   the meaning of the terms efficient capital markets and efficient market hypothesis (EMH) because





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