Page 82 - DCOM504_SECURITY_ANALYSIS_AND_PORTFOLIO_MANAGEMENT
P. 82

Unit 2: Risk and Return




                                                                                                Notes
             Calculation Mean Return and Standard Deviation of Security of Infosys (Security B)
                                                                               2
                   Year          Return % (RB)       (R – R )          (R  – R )
                                                      B    B             B   B
                   2001              10            2 (10 – 8)             4
                   2002              -6          –14 (–6 – 8)           196
                   2003              12            4 (12– 8)             16
                   2004              9              1 (9 – 8)             1
                   2005              15            7 (15 – 8)            49
                                     40                                 266

             Mean Return ( R ) = 40/5  = 8%
                          B
             Standard Deviation (  ) =  266  = 16.31%
                               B
             Analysis – Security A has a higher historic level of return and lower risk as compared to
             Security B. Correlation Coefficient (  ).
                                           AB
                                                  N XY ( X)( Y)
                                          =
                                              N X  2  ( X) 2  N Y  2  Y  2

                     A’s return (%)              B’s return (%)
                  X             X              Y             Y              XY
                                                               2
                                 2
                  9            81             10           100             90
                  5            25             -6            36             -30
                  3             9             12           144             36
                  12          144              9            81            108
                  16          256             15           225            240
                                                            2
                               2
                 X=  45       X  =  515      Y  =   40     Y   =   586    XY  =   444

                                                  5   444 (45 40)
                                          =
                                             5   515  (45) 2  5   586 (40) 2
                                                  2,220 1800           420
                                          =                       =
                                             2575 2025 2930 1600     550 1330

                                                 420         420
                                          =               =       = 0.491
                                            23.452×36.469  855.271
             Verification:
             Calculation of Covariance of Returns of Securities A and B
              Year      Returns (%)
                                       (R – R )     (R – R B )    (R – R ) ×  (R – R )
                                                                                 B
                       RA       RB       A    A       B            A   A     B
              2001     9        10       0(9 – 9)      2 (10 – 8)             0 (0 × 2)
              2002     5        -6      -4 (5 – 9)    -14 (-6 – 8)         56 (-4 × -14)
              2003     3        12      -6 (3 – 9)     4 (12 – 8)           -24 (-6 × 4)
              2004     12       9       3 (12 – 9)      1 (9 – 8)             3 (3 × 1)
              2005     16       15      7 (16 – 9)     7 (15 – 8)             49 (7 × 7)
                                                                      CovAB = 84

                                                                                Contd...




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