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Unit 4: Risk and Return




          The slope of the Market Line points to the return per unit of risk required by all investors.  Notes
          Highly risk-averse investors would have a steeper line, and the other way around. Yields on
          apparently alike stocks may differ. Differences in price, and thus yield, reflect the market’s
          assessment of the issuing company’s standing and of the risk elements in the specific stocks. A
          high yield in relation to the market in general demonstrates an above average risk element.
          This is shown in the figure below.

                           Figure 4.2: Risk Return Relationship of Different Stocks
                          Rate of
                          Return         Risk                  Market Line E(r)
                                         Premium
                                                                                Ordinary shares
                                                           Preference shares
                                                         Subordinate loan stock
                                                       Unsecured loan
                                               Debenture with floating charge
                                                Mortage loan
                                 Mortgage loan
                                               Government stock (risk-free)
                                           O                               Degree of Risk

          Given the composite market line existing at a point of time, investors would select investments
          that are reliable with their risk preferences. Some will consider low-risk investments, whereas
          others prefer high-risk investments.
          The risk/return trade-off tells us that the higher risk gives us the possibility of higher returns.
          But there are no guarantees or assurance. Just as risk means higher potential returns, it also
          means higher potential losses.




            Notes  A common misconception is that higher risk equals greater return.

          On the lower end of the scale, the risk-free rate of return is represented by the return on Treasury
          Bills of government securities, for the reason that their chance of default is next to nil. If the risk-
          free rate is at present 8 to 10 %, this means, with nearly no risk, we can earn 8 to 10 % per year on
          our money.
          The common question arises; who wants to earn 6% when index funds average 12% per year
          over the long run? The answer to this is that even the full market (represented by the index fund)
          carries risk. The return on index funds is not 12% every year, but rather -5% one year, 25% the
          next year, and so on. An investor still faces considerably greater risk and volatility to receive an
          overall return that is higher than a predictable government security. We call this additional
          return the risk premium, which in this case is 8% (12%–8%).
          Deciding what risk level is most proper for you isn’t an easy question to answer. Risk tolerance
          differs from person to person. Your decision will depend on your goals, income and personal
          situation, among other factors.

          Self Assessment

          State whether the following statements are true or false:
          7.  A common misconception is that higher risk equals smaller return.




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