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Unit 9: Data Mining




                                                                                                Notes
             Although Jaeger has only had the system since June, it already expects a return on investment
             in its first financial year. Hearn says, “Data mining is widely accepted as having one of the
             fastest returns on investment of any technology. We are still in the early days in terms of
             assessing the benefits, but we are almost double-counting our results to check they are
             right.”

             One of the earliest discoveries was that theft by employees was only a small part of total
             losses at Jaeger.
             “We have not gone out en masse and started arresting staff members for fraud, but we
             have identified considerable numbers of erroneous transactions. That is not to say that
             they are all fraud,” explains Hearn.

             Data mining is helping the clothing retailer to manage its stock, thereby reducing the
             need for markdowns when items go out of season and reducing the number of items that
             go missing altogether.
             In a recession that has already claimed the scalps of established retailers such as Woolworths
             and MFI, any initiative that helps a retailer conserve cash will receive management support.

             “Data mining is even more important now in terms of being able to understand margin
             erosion. Shrinkage is the last free margin on the table. We have got to keep the stock
             current,” says Hearn.
             At the start of the data mining project, Jaeger forecast that it would make a return on
             investment within six to nine months of the project going live. That target will be met.
             Jaeger now expects both a significant improvement in margins and a substantial benefit to
             its net profits.

             “The sheer opportunities to improve margin - it’s not just about fraud, it’s about putting
             the wrong stock in the wrong place at the wrong time. As a result, the decision to go with
             data mining was very quick. I had no resistance from Jaeger,” Hearn says.
             In Jaeger’s case, the difficulty with implementing its data mining application did not come
             from the management it came from the complexity of setting up data feeds between
             Jaeger’s existing store applications and its new centralised system. The company decided
             to buy a data mining application in the summer of 2007.

             “It was nearly a year,” says Hearn. “It was nothing to do with IDM, but to do with Jaeger.
             Our data was very complicated because we have had so much in-house development of
             our systems. For instance, at just one meeting, we had to review at line level the data we
             used in over 800 fields.”
             Jaeger’s data mining project will make a positive contribution to profits at the most
             important part of the business cycle. As the recession worsens in 2009, retailers will need
             to develop similar projects that produce rapid returns on investment those that make
             sustained improvements to net profits year after year will stand the best chance of winning
             management approval. As money strains lead more customers and employees to steal
             from retailers, applications that can reduce theft will become increasingly important.
             How Data Mining Gathers Information?
             A data mining application becomes more powerful if it uses a greater number of feeds
             from the retailer’s other systems. LossManager was built in the Microsoft Development
             Environment and was written in C++ so it can be used to accept feeds from as many
             different systems as possible.

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