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Simulation and Modelling



                      Notes            Present cost of unloading [for three operatives] = 3 x 20 per hour = ` 60 per hour.

                                       Traffic intensity = P = lambda/mu = 8/10 = 0.80
                                       Average queue length = P2/1 - P = (0.80){+2} = 0.80 x 0.80 / 1 - 0.800.20 = 3.2
                                       Opportunity cost per unit time = 60 x 3.2 = ` 192
                                       Actual cost of current year = 60 x 3.2 = ` 192
                                       Total cost of current year = opportunity cost + actual cost = 192 + 192 = ` 384
                                       Proposal: If crew is doubled, service rate = mu = 18 per hour
                                       Cost of unloading [for six operatives] = 6 x 20 = ` 120 per hour
                                       Traffic intensity = P lambda/mu = 8/18 = 4/9 = 0.44
                                       Average queue length = P2/1-P = (0.44){+2} /1-0.44 = 0.44 x 0.44/0.56 = 0.35
                                       Opportunity cost = 60 x 0.35 = ` 21
                                       Actual cost = 120 x 0.35 = ` 42
                                       Total cost = 21 + 42 = ` 63
                                       Thus the total cost of by employing second crew is less than the single crew. Hence, it is
                                       worthwhile employing the second crew.

                                       Note: Decision to employ second crew will not change even if we consider total salary for
                                       crew is taken as ` 20 per hour.
                                       Simulation

                                       SHREE Lakshmi Finance Corporation is an investment company.
                                       The management of the company wants to study the investment in a project based on the
                                       following three factors: a) market demand, b) profitability, and  c) amount of investment
                                       required.
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