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Unit 10: Theories of Inflation




          If government decides to incur an  expenditure, G, the aggregate expenditure curve (C+1+G)  Notes
          shifts upwards and new equilibrium is D where the level of income is Y, and expenditure E.
          However, suppose Y  is full employment equilibrium and the real output cannot increase. Thus
                           0
          there is an excess demand equal to AB which will be purely inflationary and this represents the
          inflationary gap (Keynesians recommend that in such situations the government should follow
          deflationary policy to bring down aggregate demand to the equilibrium level).
                                            Figure  10.1























          According to Keynes, at full employment, the excess demand for goods and services cannot be
          met in real terms and, therefore, it is met by rise in the price of goods. Demand pull inflation
          occurs only when there is an inflationary gap in the economy. The aggregate demand line AD
          intersects the 45º line at point E, which is to the right of the full employment line. Thus, at full
          employment there is excess demand which pulls up prices (Figure 10.2).
                                            Figure  10.2


























          Samuelson says that demand pull inflation simply means that increasing quantities of money
          are competing for the  limited supply of commodities  and bid up their prices. As the rate of
          employment falls and labour markets become light (i.e., markets become scarce) wages are bid
          up and the inflationary process accelerates.





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