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Unit 10: Theories of Inflation




          Thus, cost push inflation occurs due to  non-wage factors also. For instance, monopolistic or  Notes
          oligopolistic firms often attempt to maintain their profit margins steady by raising the prices of
          their products in proportion  to the rise in other cost  elements. Such a cost  push inflation  is
          sometimes called “mark-up” inflation.
          Cost push inflation is shown in the Figure 10.3.

                                            Figure  10.3






















          Given the demand curve AD, supply curve shifts to the left from AS  to AS  to AS  as a result of
                                                                 1    2    3
          rise in wages and other cost elements. Leftward shifts in the supply curve result in rise in the
          price level from P  to P  to P  and so on.
                        1    2   3
          The causes of such inflation are the following.
          1.   Wage-push Pressures: Cost push inflation is often attributed to wage push or profit push
               pressures. Wage push pressures are created by labour unions and workers who are often
               able  to increase their wages faster than  their  productivity.  It is  widely believed  that
               powerful trade unions cause inflation by pushing up wages. This variant of cost push
               inflation, called wage-push inflation, occurs when wages rise faster than labour productivity;
               statistical studies indeed corroborate this view. Empirical  evidence shows that there is
               indeed  a correlation  between  earnings  and  the  general  price  level.  However,  such
               correlation is not always perfect.

          2.   Profit-Push and Mark-up Pricing: Suppose all business firms have the practice of pricing
               the goods and services which they sell on the basis of standard mark-up over their direct
               cost of materials and labour. In such a situation when the firms follow cost plus pricing
               either an increase in costs or an increase in the mark-up as a percentage of the costs or both
               will lead to a rise in the price level. Such a mark-up inflation is because of dynamic price
               expectations of consumers and speculative activities of traders.
          3.   Import Prices: Since no country in the present day world is self-sufficient, imports play an
               important part in cost push inflation. Thus, inflation is often transmitted from country to
               country. The sharp increase in the world commodity prices, especially oil, in the 1970s
               undoubtedly contributed to inflation. Sine inflation is a global phenomenon, it cannot be
               avoided. It is not possible for a country to cut itself off completely from rising prices in the
               rest of the world.









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