Page 252 - DECO201_MACRO_ECONOMICS_ENGLISH
P. 252

Unit 14: Macro Economic Policies: Fiscal Policy




                                                                                                Notes
                    This striking  performance  coupled  with  significant  improvement  in  fiscal
                    indicators, during the Fiscal Responsibility and  Budget Management (FRBM)
                    Act,  2003 regime  definitely  put  the country  on a  higher growth  trajectory
                    inspiring confidence in the medium to long term prospects of the economy. The
                    process of fiscal consolidation during these years has resulted in improvement
                    in fiscal deficit from 5.9 per cent of GDP in 2002-03 to 2.7 per cent of GDP in
                    2007-08. During the same period, revenue deficit has declined from 4.4 per cent
                    to 1.1 per cent of GDP.
                    In  tune  with  the  philosophy  of  equitable  growth,  the  process  of  fiscal
                    consolidation was taken forward without constricting the much-required social
                    sector and infrastructure related expenditure.
                    This improvement in the state of public finances was achieved through higher
                    revenue  buoyancy,  driven  by  efficient  tax  administration  and  improved
                    compliance which is evident from increase in the tax to GDP ratio from 8.8 per
                    cent in 2002-03 to 12.5 per cent in 2007-08.
                2.  Riding  on  the  path  of  fiscal consolidation,  the  Union  Budget  2008-09 was
                    presented with fiscal deficit estimated at 2.5 per cent of GDP and revenue deficit
                    at 1 per cent of GDP.
                    However, after the presentation of the Union Budget in February 2008, the world
                    economy was hit by three unprecedented crises – first, the petroleum price rise;
                    second, rise  in prices of other commodities; and  third, the breakdown of the
                    financial system.
                    The combined effect of these crises of these orders are bound to affect emerging
                    market economies and India was no exception. The first two crises resulted in
                    serious inflationary pressure in the first half of 2008-09. The focus of the monetary
                    as well as fiscal policy shifted from  fuelling growth to containing  inflation,
                    which had reached 12.9 per cent in August, 2008.
                    Series  of fiscal  measures  both  on tax  revenue  and  expenditure side  were
                    undertaken with the objective of easing supply side constraints. These measures
                    were supplemented by monetary initiatives through policy rate changes by the
                    Reserve Bank of India and contributed to the softening of domestic prices.
                    Headline inflation fell to 4.39 per cent in January, 2009.  However, the fiscal
                    measures undertaken through tax concessions and increased expenditure  on
                    food, fertiliser  and petroleum  subsidies along with  increased wage bill  for
                    implementing the Sixth Central Pay Commission recommendations significantly
                    altered the deficit position of the Government.
                3.  The global financial crisis in the second half of the financial year which heralded
                    recessionary trends the world over, also impacted the Indian economy causing
                    the focus of fiscal policy to be shifted to providing growth stimulus.

                    The moderation in growth of the economy and the impact of the fiscal measures
                    taken to stimulate growth can be seen reflected in the estimates for gross tax
                    revenue which stand reduced from   6,87,715 crore in B.E. 2008-09 to   6,27,949
                    crore in R.E. 2008-09.
                    Additional budgetary resources of   1,50,320 crore provided as part of stimulus
                    package and  various  committed  liabilities of  Government including  rising
                    subsidy requirement, provision under NREGS, implementation of Central Sixth
                                                                                 Contd...



                                           LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY                                   247
   247   248   249   250   251   252   253   254   255   256   257