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Macro Economics




                    Notes          via their effects on the long-term interest rate. This channel is emphasized by both Keynesian
                                   and neoclassical models.
                                   Lower future spending commitments mean that future taxes won't have to rise as much. In other
                                   words, such a financing plan, if credible, will help sustaining the spending plans by firms and
                                   households who are currently not credit-constrained, and who therefore immediately respond
                                   to long-term fiscal prospects.
                                   Admittedly, a commitment to reduce spending in the future may lack credibility, especially in
                                   a situation like today, when the uncertainty about the length and the overall fiscal implications
                                   of the crisis is enormous.
                                   It may nonetheless pay to identify measures which are inherently temporary, i.e., matched by
                                   future cuts in spending. An obvious example consists of measures that bring forward in time
                                   investment  projects  that  are  already  planned,  thereby  raising  current  spending  while
                                   simultaneously reducing  future spending.  This is not a perfect solution to the  commitment
                                   problem, but it may help.





                                     Notes  Monetary and Fiscal Policy should Work Together
                                     Fiscal policy is more effective if it works in consonance with the monetary policy. For
                                     fiscal stimulus to work, central banks  should not  adhere to  narrow-mindedly to their
                                     mandate of price stability.
                                     Yet, one could envision a situation in which, even if policy interest rates were brought
                                     close to zero, it would still be possible that the overall monetary stance of the economy
                                     remain too tight. In this situation, the lower bound of zero for nominal interest rates -
                                     while  providing a  rationale for  a  fiscal  expansion -  may at  the  same  time  limit  the
                                     effectiveness of any given fiscal intervention.

                                   Limitations of Fiscal Policy

                                   In practice there are many limitations of using a fiscal policy. They are:
                                   Disincentives of Tax Cuts: Increasing Taxes to reduce AD may cause disincentives to work, if this
                                   occurs there will be a fall  in productivity  and AS could fall.  However, higher  taxes do  not
                                   necessarily reduce incentives to work if the income effect dominates.
                                   Side Effects on Public Spending: Reduced government spending to Increase AD could adversely
                                   affect public services such as public transport and education causing market failure and social
                                   inefficiency.

                                   Poor Information: Fiscal policy will suffer if the government has poor information. For example,
                                   if the government believes there is going to be a recession, they will increase AD, however if
                                   this forecast was wrong and the economy grew too fast, the government action would cause
                                   inflation.
                                   Time Lags: If the government plans to increase spending this can take a long time to filter into
                                   the economy and it may be too late. Spending plans are only set once a year. There is also a delay
                                   in implementing any changes to spending patterns.

                                   Budget Deficit: Expansionary fiscal policy (cutting taxes and increasing G) will cause an increase
                                   in the budget deficit which has many adverse effects. Higher budget deficit will require higher
                                   taxes in the future and may cause crowding out.





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