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Event Management
Notes 6.5 Risk Analysis and Prioritizing
The matrix below is adapted from the Risk Management Standard. It can be used to record a
priority rating for each risk identified in the risk audit. Each risk identified must be evaluated in
terms of:
The probability of occurrence (the likelihood).
The severity of the consequence should the risk actually occur.
A risk exposure that has both a high likelihood and a high severity of consequence should
be given the greatest consideration for elimination or control.
A risk that is both low in likelihood and low in severity can easily be retained and self-
funded.
Table 6.1: Risk Analysis
Likelihood Consequences
Insignificant 1 Minor 2 Moderate 3 Major 4 Catastrophe 5
Almost Certain H H E E E
Is expected to occur
at most times
Likely M H H E E
Will probably
occur at most times
Moderate L M H E E
Might occur at most
times
Unlikely L L M H E
Could occur
at sometime
Rare L L M H H
May occur in
rare
Legend
E Extreme Risk Immediate action required
H High Risk Senior management attention needed
M Moderate Risk Management responsibility must be specified
L Low Risk Manage by routine procedures
6.5.1 Documenting Risks
These are basically of two kinds:
1. The Risk Register
2. The Risk Treatment Schedule
Risk Register
The Risk Register, also known as a Risk Log
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