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Software Project Management




                    Notes
                                     Another forward-looking scenario generation approach for op-risk measurement is Loss
                                     Scenario Modelling, which involves generating simulations for loss scenarios based on
                                     the events and losses captured in the first step.
                                     Basel II norms suggest three approaches for measurement of op-risk. The simplest approach,
                                     best suited for less sophisticated and small balance-sheet banks, is the Basic Indicator
                                     Approach  (BIA). BIA  requires banks to allocate  capital based on a  single indicator of
                                     operational risk, which in  this case will be  average gross  income of  past three years
                                     multiplied by factor called alpha, which is set at 15 per cent.

                                     The second approach is the Standardised Approach (SA), which  involves mapping the
                                     bank’s business lines to the set of eight business lines and use multiplier (Beta) of average
                                     gross income to compute capital charge.
                                     Also, there is the Alternative Standardised Approach (ASA), which uses loans and advances,
                                     instead  of  gross  income,  for  retail banking  and  commercial  banking business  lines
                                     multiplied by fixed factor which results in capital charge to be set aside.
                                     The most sophisticated approach suggested is advanced measurement approach (AMA).
                                     Under the AMA, the regulatory capital requirement will equal the risk measures generated
                                     by the  bank’s  internal  operational risk  measurement system  using  quantitative  and
                                     qualitative criteria for the AMA. Internal data used must be based on a minimum historical
                                     observation period of five years. However, when a bank first moves to AMA, a three-year
                                     period is acceptable.
                                     Banks need to employ the quantitative approaches like Internal Measurement Approach
                                     (IMA) or Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) or Balance Scorecard Approach (BSA) for
                                     adopting AMA. All AMA approaches compute the expected and unexpected loss. The most
                                     significant aspect for a bank to graduate from Basic Indicator Approach (BIA) to Advanced
                                     Measurement  Approach (AMA) is the  potential benefit  of less  capital allocation  for
                                     operational risk.

                                     As op-risk involves failures during operations in daily business, the key steps in op-risk
                                     management involve improving internal control environment, designing and developing
                                     procedures to implementing the risk management processes and employing risk transfer
                                     techniques, such as insurance, to mitigate the loss arising from operational risk. Credit
                                     rating agencies have started rating banks  based on their risk control and management
                                     frameworks. Investor awareness has also increased to the extent that banks with robust
                                     risk management frameworks are able to attract strategic investments with less effort.
                                     Given the known benefits of implementing the provisions of the Basel II accord, banks
                                     should prioritise their strategy towards op-risk management. A constructive approach in
                                     this direction could be to automate the suggested five-step approach and, as a first step, to
                                     start developing a loss event database.

                                   10.11 Summary


                                      Software project managers need to manage risk and use every tool available to them for
                                       this management.

                                      If they can use a tool that is already being used on their project for other purposes, they
                                       save themselves time and money.
                                      Most managers use some form of a metrics program to track their project for cost, schedule,
                                       effort, and quality.





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