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Unit 3: Managing Investment Risks




                    would become a burden to the firm. The fixed cost component has to be kept always  Notes
                    in a reasonable size so that it may not affect the profitability of the company.
                    Single Product: The internal business risk is higher in case of firm producing a
                    single product. The fall in demand for a single product would be fatal for the firm.
                    Hence the company has to diversify the products if it has to face the competition and
                    the business cycle successfully.
                    External Risk: It is the result of operating conditions imposed on the firm by
                    circumstances beyond its control. The external environments in which it operates
                    exert some pressure on the firm. The external factors are:

                         Social and regulatory factors
                         Monetary and fiscal policies of the government
                         Business cycle and general economic environment within which a firm
                         operates.

                    Social and regulatory factors: Harsh regulatory climate and legislation against the
                    environmental degradation may impair the profitability of the industry. Price
                    control, volume control, import export control and environment control reduce the
                    profitability of the firm. This risk is more in industries related to public utility
                    sectors such as telecom, banking and transportation.
                    Political risk: It arises out of the change in government policy. With a change in the
                    ruling party, the policy also changes. Political risk arises mainly in the case of
                    foreign investment. The host government may change its rules and regulations
                    regarding the foreign investment.

                    Business cycle: The fluctuations of the business cycle lead to fluctuations in the
                    earnings of the company. Recession in the economy leads to a drop in the output of
                    many industries. Steel and white consumer goods industries tend to move in tandem
                    with the business cycle. During the boom period there would be hectic demand for
                    steel products ad white consumer goods. But at the same time, they would be hit
                    much during recession period. This risk factor is external to the corporate bodies
                    and they may not be able to control it.
               Financial Risk: It refers to the variability of the income to the equity capital due to the
               debt capital. Financial risk in a company is associated with the capital structure of the
               company. Capital structure of the company consists of equity funds and borrowed funds.
               The presence of debt and preference capital results in a commitment of paying interest or
               prefixed rate of dividend. The residual income alone would be available to the equity
               holders. The interest payment affects the payments that are due to the equity investors.
               The debt financing increases the variability of the returns to the common stock holders
               and affects their expectations regarding the return. The use of debt with the owned funds
               to increase the return to the shareholders is known as financial leverage.
                    Equity Risk: Equity risk is the risk that one’s investments will depreciate because of
                    stock market dynamics causing one to lose money.
                    The measure of risk used in the equity markets is typically the standard deviation of
                    a security’s price over a number of periods. The standard deviation will delineate
                    the normal fluctuations one can expect in that particular security above and below
                    the mean, or average. However, since most investors would not consider fluctuations
                    above the average return as “risk”, some economists prefer other means of measuring
                    it.





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