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Global HRM




                    Notes          4.3 The Future of Globalisation

                                   Like a snowball rolling down a steep mountain, globalisation seems to be gathering more and
                                   more momentum. And the question frequently asked about globalisation is not whether it will
                                   continue, but at what pace.
                                   A disparate set of factors will dictate the future direction of globalisation, but one important
                                   entity—sovereign governments—should not be overlooked. They still have the power to erect
                                   significant obstacles to globalisation, ranging from tariffs to immigration restrictions to military
                                   hostilities. Nearly a century ago, the global  economy operated in a very open environment,
                                   with goods, services, and people able to move across borders with little if any difficulty. That
                                   openness began to wither away with the onset of World War I in 1914, and recovering what was
                                   lost is a process that is still underway. Along the process, governments recognised the importance
                                   of  international cooperation  and coordination,  which led  to  the  emergence  of  numerous
                                   international organisations and financial institutions (among which the IMF  and the  World
                                   Bank, in 1944).
                                   Indeed, the lessons included avoiding fragmentation and the breakdown of cooperation among
                                   nations. The world is still made up of nation states and a global marketplace. We need to get the
                                   right rules in place so the global system is more resilient, more beneficial, and more legitimate.
                                   International institutions have a difficult but indispensable role in helping to bring more  of
                                   globalisation’s benefits to more people throughout the world. By helping to break down barriers—
                                   ranging from the regulatory to the cultural—more countries can be integrated into the global
                                   economy, and more people can seize more of the benefits of globalisation.





                                      Task  Chart out the growth path followed by globalisation after the phase of liberalisation
                                     and industrial revolution.





                                     Notes  Myths about Globalisation
                                     No discussion of globalisation would be complete without dispelling some of the myths
                                     that have been built up around it.
                                     Downward pressure on wages: As more work can be mechanised, and as fewer people are
                                     needed to do a given job than in the past, the demand for that labour will fall, and as a
                                     result the prevailing wages for that labor will be affected as well.
                                     The “race to the bottom”: In an open global market, while jurisdictions do compete with
                                     each other to attract investment, this competition incorporates factors well beyond just
                                     the hourly wage rate. According to the UN Information Service, the developed world
                                     hosts two-thirds of the world’s inward foreign direct investment. The 49 least developed
                                     countries—the poorest of the developing countries—account for around 2 per cent of the
                                     total inward FDI stock of developing countries.
                                     Globalisation is irreversible: In the long run, globalisation is likely to be an unrelenting
                                     phenomenon. But for significant periods of time, its momentum can be hindered by a
                                     variety of factors, ranging from political will to availability of infrastructure.
                                     Openness to globalisation will, on its own, deliver economic growth: Integrating with the
                                     global economy is, as economists like to say, a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for
                                                                                                         Contd...



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